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Top stories

Sega’s ‘Shinobi: Art of Vengeance’ Wins Early Critical Praise Ahead of Launch

Sega’s ‘Shinobi: Art of Vengeance’ Wins Early Critical Praise Ahead of Launch

Authors

7

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Game Informer

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

Jul 13, 11:37 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

19.62%chance

9718085

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1907

586

When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users?

Nov 20, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2714038

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

51

48

43

41

34

10

Will sports betting be significantly restricted in the U.S. by 2030?

Apr 26, 6:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.72%chance

1013943

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15823

6827

Will we get AGI before we discover alien life?

Jan 18, 9:10 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

84.11%chance

5510311

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1157

945

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.88%chance

726686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1792

1322

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?

Aug 26, 8:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.32%chance

394093

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

955

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2028?

Aug 26, 8:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

70.91%chance

163619

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1561

641

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?

Aug 26, 8:37 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

79%chance

61726

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1940

516

In what year will an AI successfully beat The Talos Principle?

Jul 11, 9:07 PMDec 18, 10:59 PM

7408

OptionProbability

Later

2027

2028

2026

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2024

2025

28

20

20

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

1

1

Will there be a leak of military secrets or sensitive information on the War Thunder game forums in 2026?

Jun 23, 8:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.9%chance

10400

OptionVotes

NO

YES

270

37

Will I still be running LW/EA board games nights weekly in April

Jan 30, 7:38 PMMay 1, 11:59 PM

46.87%chance

4360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

939

Will Austin LessWrong will ban someone in 2026?

Jan 3, 9:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.67%chance

5143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

48

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Video Games
Culture
Sega’s ‘Shinobi: Art of Vengeance’ Wins Early Critical Praise Ahead of Launch
Authors
7
5 months ago

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