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Top stories

Sega’s ‘Shinobi: Art of Vengeance’ Wins Early Critical Praise Ahead of Launch

Sega’s ‘Shinobi: Art of Vengeance’ Wins Early Critical Praise Ahead of Launch

Authors

7

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Game Informer

When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users?

Nov 20, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3818873

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

54

52

44

35

18

0

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

Jul 13, 11:37 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

37.26%chance

10118664

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1162

869

Will sports betting be significantly restricted in the U.S. by 2030?

Apr 26, 6:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.13%chance

1214199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16073

6733

Will we get AGI before we discover alien life?

Jan 18, 9:10 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

85.1%chance

5710595

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1231

931

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?

Aug 26, 8:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

32.35%chance

526952

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1446

691

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.76%chance

766811

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1891

1299

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2028?

Aug 26, 8:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

66.35%chance

194479

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1404

712

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?

Aug 26, 8:37 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

78.94%chance

71727

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1936

517

Will there be a leak of military secrets or sensitive information on the War Thunder game forums in 2026?

Jun 23, 8:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.9%chance

10400

OptionVotes

NO

YES

270

37

Will the Rockstar games workers gain union recognition before the release of GTAVI?

Dec 15, 11:25 PMJun 22, 10:59 PM

37.28%chance

4331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1297

771

By the start of 2027, will there be >=1 students attending P.S for whom M.M substantially influenced their decision?

May 18, 2:47 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30.31%chance

6161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

68

Private-information aggregation futarchy Nash Equilibria

Aug 16, 8:53 PMDec 31, 5:17 PM

59.02%chance

242

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

Latest stories

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Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Video Games
Culture
Sega’s ‘Shinobi: Art of Vengeance’ Wins Early Critical Praise Ahead of Launch
Authors
7
10 months ago

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