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Prediction markets for Game Informer
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?
Aug 26, 8:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
45.81%chance
10421639
OptionVotes
1088
919
OptionProbability
54
52
44
35
17
0
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?
Jul 13, 11:37 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM
40.95%chance
10518965
OptionVotes
1066
931
Will sports betting be significantly restricted in the U.S. by 2030?
Apr 26, 6:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
27.12%chance
1314201
OptionVotes
16075
6732
OptionVotes
1231
931
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2028?
Aug 26, 8:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
91.79%chance
277792
OptionVotes
3343
299
I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?
Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
15.54%chance
777161
OptionVotes
2241
1226
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?
Aug 26, 8:37 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
94.66%chance
154931
OptionVotes
4210
238
Will the Rockstar games workers gain union recognition before the release of GTAVI?
Dec 15, 11:25 PMJun 22, 10:59 PM
20.31%chance
91450
OptionVotes
1981
505
Will an A press be saved in Super Mario 64 before 2027
May 26, 6:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.17%chance
9594
OptionVotes
336
30
Will there be a leak of military secrets or sensitive information on the War Thunder game forums in 2027?
Aug 8, 9:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
79.31%chance
11140
OptionVotes
196
51
Will Allomancy be playable in an action video game before 2030?
Oct 3, 12:50 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
63.58%chance
488
OptionVotes
108
106
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