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Game of the Year News

    Prediction markets for Game of the Year

    What year will the next book in the Game of Thrones (ASOIAF) book series be released?

    Sep 8, 3:21 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
    369824

    OptionProbability

    never/later

    2027

    2028

    2029

    2030

    2031

    2026

    2024

    2025

    2023

    39

    25

    11

    8

    5

    5

    4

    1

    1

    0

    Mario Kart World MEGAMARKET

    Apr 6, 4:52 AMApr 3, 11:59 PM
    107305

    OptionProbability

    It will be nominated for at least one award at the Game Awards 2025

    It will be nominated for multiple awards at the Game Awards 2025

    It will get a Metascore of 50 or more

    It will get a Metascore of 55 or more

    It will get a Metascore of 60 or more

    It will get a Metascore of 65 or more

    It will get a Metascore of 70 or more

    It will get a Metascore of 75 or more

    It will get a Metascore of 80 or more

    It will get a Metascore of 85 or more

    It will have sold over 1 million copies by the end of September 2025

    It will have sold over 3 million copies by the end of September 2025

    It will have sold over 5 million copies by the end of September 2025

    It will have sold over 5.91 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart: Super Circuit for the Game Boy Advance) by the end of September 2025

    It will have sold over 6.88 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart: Double Dash for the Nintendo Gamecube) by the end of September 2025

    It will have sold over 8.46 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart 8 for the WiiU) by the end of September 2025

    It will have sold over 8.76 million copies (the lifetime sales of Super Mario Kart for the Super Nintendo) by the end of September 2025

    It will have sold over 6.88 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart: Double Dash for the Nintendo Gamecube) by the end of Calendar Year 2025

    It will win an award at the Game Awards 2025

    It will have sold over 9.87 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart 64 for the Nintendo 64) by the end of Calendar Year 2025

    It will have sold over 6.88 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart: Double Dash for the Nintendo Gamecube) by the end of FY2026

    It will have sold over 9.87 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart 64 for the Nintendo 64) by the end of FY2026

    It will be the best-selling Nintendo Switch 2 game (not including Nintendo Switch 2 edition games) at the end of calendar year 2025

    It will be the best-selling Nintendo Switch 2 game (not including Nintendo Switch 2 edition games) at the end of calendar year 2026

    It will have sold over 18.99 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart 7) by the end of FY2027

    It will have sold over 18.99 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart 7) by the end of FY2026

    It will have sold over 37.38 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart Wii) by the end of FY2027

    It will overtake the sales figures of Mario Kart 8 Deluxe for the Nintendo Switch (not counting WiiU sales of Mario Kart 8) by the end of calendar year 2027

    It will overtake the sales figures of Mario Kart 8 Deluxe for the Nintendo Switch (not counting WiiU sales of Mario Kart 8) by the end of calendar year 2028

    It will overtake the sales figures of Mario Kart 8 (INCLUDING WiiU sales of Mario Kart 8 AND Switch Sales of Mario Kart 8 Deluxe) by the end of calendar year 2029

    It will have sold over 37.38 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart Wii) by the end of FY2026

    It will win multiple awards at the Game Awards 2025

    It will have sold over 18.99 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart 7) by the end of Calendar Year 2025

    It will get a Metascore of 90 or more

    It will get a Metascore of 95 or more

    It will have sold over 9.87 million copies (the lifetime sales of Mario Kart 64 for the Nintendo 64) by the end of September 2025

    It will have sold over 12 million copies by the end of September 2025

    It will have sold over 15 million copies by the end of September 2025

    It will have sold over 18.99 million copies (The lifetime sales of Mario Kart 7) by the end of September 2025

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    99

    99

    99

    99

    90

    83

    76

    50

    20

    20

    17

    8

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Which game will win Game of the Year at the Game Awards 2026?

    Aug 31, 6:55 AMDec 11, 11:59 PM
    347008

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Grand Theft Auto VI

    CONTROL Resonant

    Half-Life 3

    Resident Evil Requiem

    High On Life 2

    Mewgenics

    Onimusha: Way of the Sword

    007 First Light

    Slay the Spire 2

    76

    11

    3

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    SOAI#5: A real-time generative video game becomes the year’s most-watched title on Twitch.

    Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    4.81%chance
    335935

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    4447

    225

    What will be true of Touhou 20?

    Apr 1, 12:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    112584

    OptionProbability

    Releases in 2025

    Will be followed, before Touhou 21 and within three years of release, by at least two fractional Touhou games (20.x)

    Final integer-numbered game in the Touhou series

    At least five playable characters

    At least one playable youkai

    A multiplayer mode exists

    Mima appears

    100

    34

    13

    0

    0

    0

    0

    What year will the next major Legend of Zelda game be released?

    Jan 3, 1:52 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
    13971

    OptionProbability

    2028

    2027

    2026

    2029

    2030

    Other

    2025

    43

    28

    9

    9

    7

    2

    1

    Will Paradox release a NEW grand strategy game that covers the year 866 as part of its unmodded timeline by end 2029?

    Feb 15, 8:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    42%chance
    2718

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    118

    85

    Will these things happen

    Jul 6, 3:33 AMDec 12, 3:28 AM
    13496

    OptionProbability

    Does gta 6 get delayed again

    Does gta seven release before 2045

    Will gta 7 be the last game in the series

    Will the creator change this market’s closing date?

    Will GTA 6 receive a 'Game of the Year' award within its first year?

    Does America declare war on North Korea before GTA 7

    100

    50

    50

    50

    42

    20

    Will GTA VI/GTA 6 win Game of the Year at The Game Awards (2026 or 2027)?

    Dec 17, 9:12 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM
    53.22%chance
    5129

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    107

    94

    Will 007 First Light be nominated for Game of the Year at the Game Awards? (James Bond game from IO Studios)

    Sep 11, 2:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    58%chance
    573

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    118

    85

    Will the next original Paper Mario game use the “classic” RPG formula of Paper Mario 64 / The Thousand-Year Door?

    Jul 7, 9:35 AMJul 7, 9:29 AM
    40.57%chance
    639

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    121

    83

    Will Paradox release a grand strategy game that covers the year 632 as part of its unmodded timeline by the end of 2029?

    Feb 15, 8:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    39%chance
    325

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    125

    80

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