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Top stories

Google, Kairos Power, TVA to Build Tennessee Nuclear Reactor by 2030; Gemini AI Cuts Energy Use 33x to 0.24 Wh per Prompt

Google, Kairos Power, TVA to Build Tennessee Nuclear Reactor by 2030; Gemini AI Cuts Energy Use 33x to 0.24 Wh per Prompt

Authors

31

9 months ago

OpenAI Expands to India; Meta Signs $10B Google Cloud Deal, Hires Apple Exec; Musk Advances Grok 5 AI; Nuro Gets $203M Funding

OpenAI Expands to India; Meta Signs $10B Google Cloud Deal, Hires Apple Exec; Musk Advances Grok 5 AI; Nuro Gets $203M Funding

Authors

6

9 months ago

Google Expands NotebookLM Video Overviews to 80 Languages

Google Expands NotebookLM Video Overviews to 80 Languages

Authors

11

8 months ago

Google Launches Gemini-Powered Text-to-Audio Feature in Google Docs With Custom Voices and New API Tools

Authors

8

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Gemini AI

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

Feb 21, 6:53 PMFeb 22, 5:59 AM

23%chance

11515794

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2116

571

By when will Google add ads to Gemini?

Dec 8, 7:05 PMDec 8, 6:54 PM

229721

OptionProbability

By Jan 1, 2028

By Jan 1, 2027

By Dec 1, 2026

By Nov 1, 2026

By Oct 1, 2026

By Sep 1, 2026

By Aug 1, 2026

By Jul 1, 2026

By Jun 1, 2026

By May 1, 2026

By Jan 1, 2026

By Feb 1, 2026

By Mar 1, 2026

By Apr 1, 2026

62

32

26

25

23

14

8

5

4

1

0

0

0

0

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.28%chance

244492

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3573

281

When will an AI-related event dominate the mainstream news cycle for at least three consecutive days?

Jan 21, 6:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

172420

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2030 and after. . . or we're all dead before the news comes out.

2028

2029

40

21

17

16

10

Will AI models solve at least 2 FrontierMath Open Problems before 2027?

Mar 23, 4:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75%chance

211142

OptionVotes

NO

YES

422

372

Will Google stick to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military by EOY 2026?

Feb 27, 11:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.13%chance

19739

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

92

Will humans create a SOTA AI model without Multi-Layer Perceptrons by 2029?

May 4, 6:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.43%chance

11712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1414

776

Google deploys ads in Gemini web or mobile app by end of 2026

Jan 8, 5:08 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

18.1%chance

17620

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

Will 'From Keynes to the Machine Age' receive substantive critical engagement from qualified experts by 2026?

Oct 11, 4:16 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

39.02%chance

3250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

800

Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?

Dec 14, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.72%chance

8246

OptionVotes

NO

YES

166

88

Will Apple announce Gemini-powered Siri features at WWDC 2026 (June 8-12)?

May 1, 10:01 AMJun 13, 6:00 AM

76.03%chance

10146

OptionVotes

NO

YES

157

74

Will Google DeepMind release Gemini 3.5 by July 31, 2026?

Apr 29, 9:35 AMJul 31, 10:00 PM

74%chance

673

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

77

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