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Top stories

Sonic Labs Launches Spark AI Platform Powered by Google's Gemini to Build Web3 Apps Without Coding, Includes Automated Bug Screening

Sonic Labs Launches Spark AI Platform Powered by Google's Gemini to Build Web3 Apps Without Coding, Includes Automated Bug Screening

Authors

17

15 days ago

Google Adds Gemini AI Features to Lenovo Chromebook Plus 14 with MediaTek Chip and Launches AI Store Reviews for US Shoppers

Google Adds Gemini AI Features to Lenovo Chromebook Plus 14 with MediaTek Chip and Launches AI Store Reviews for US Shoppers

Authors

21

1 month ago

Google to Unveil Pixel 10 Series Including Pro Fold, Tensor G5 Chip, Qi2 25W Charging, and Pixel Watch 4 on August 20

Google to Unveil Pixel 10 Series Including Pro Fold, Tensor G5 Chip, Qi2 25W Charging, and Pixel Watch 4 on August 20

Authors

63

11 days ago

Prediction markets for Gemini AI

Will an AI score over 80% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025

Nov 9, 1:06 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13%chance

112115251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1303

961

Will a Chinese-made AI beat o3's December score on Frontier Math by the end of 2025?

Dec 23, 1:32 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

35%chance

9025799

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1363

734

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?

Feb 21, 6:53 PMFeb 22, 5:59 AM

46.63%chance

10412863

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1271

1003

By the end of 2025 will general AIs like GPT-4o make better music than specialist AIs like Udio did in spring of 2024?

May 16, 4:43 AMJan 8, 7:59 AM

19.57%chance

376585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2041

285

Will a mainstream AI model pass the stick figure arrow name test in 2025?

Apr 12, 12:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.47%chance

605883

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1030

971

Google Gemini 3 Pro Release Date

Mar 25, 12:38 AMJun 30, 10:59 PM

224595

On Dec 31, 2025, will a widely available AI model be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program?

Dec 28, 2:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.5%chance

233794

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1584

631

Best public AI model uses "We" in CoT by EOY 2025?

Jun 1, 7:38 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

21.83%chance

121345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1892

528

Will humans create a SOTA AI model without Multi-Layer Perceptrons by 2029?

May 4, 6:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.35%chance

10362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1064

954

How many academic publishers will publicly state that their referral traffic from Google/Google Scholar has decreased?

Jan 4, 11:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4335

OptionProbability

0 publishers

1-2 publishers

3-5 publishers

More than 5 publishers

50

22

15

13

Will I continue paying for ChatGPT through the summer?

Jun 3, 7:09 PMSep 1, 11:59 PM

78.95%chance

10188

OptionVotes

NO

YES

194

52

What LLM API will work unmodified until the end of 2025?

Mar 8, 2:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6115

OptionProbability

OpenAI Chat Completion API

Google Vertex AI Gemini

Mistral AI Chat Completion API

Google Gemini API

86

66

66

50

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