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Top stories

German Auto Lobby Presses US to Lift Section 232 Tariffs After Stalled Deal

Authors

4

6 days ago

Prediction markets for German government

Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?

Jan 22, 4:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12%chance

2423827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12196

9630

Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

57.71%chance

8118684

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1157

893

Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) be part of the German government by 2026?

Jul 14, 9:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.14%chance

4116734

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7241

743

Will Germany recognize the State of Palestine within 2 years of Ireland, Norway and Spain?

May 28, 3:20 PMMay 29, 8:59 PM

10%chance

407788

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3591

300

Will Deutsche Bank AG be bailed out by the German government before 2026?

Mar 25, 12:30 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

2.61%chance

185941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6575

490

Will Germany give up paper correspondence before the technological singularity happens?

May 22, 10:42 AMOct 29, 9:59 PM

17.59%chance

172707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2165

462

Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?

Sep 3, 8:09 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15%chance

242275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

459

Will the German standard VAT rate increase by December 31st 2025?

Feb 12, 6:51 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

12.86%chance

71603

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2603

384

Will I (@Lion) pay a fine for being a Manifold Partner to the local authorities?

Dec 30, 2:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.16%chance

18716

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

920

Will the CDU in eastern german states try to form a government with the far-right AfD after the next election?

Jan 18, 11:03 AMDec 31, 7:25 AM

11.37%chance

8537

OptionVotes

YES

NO

323

100

Will the German government revert cannabis legalization in the next 4 years?

May 3, 7:19 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

12.73%chance

11269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

262

38

How high will the industry average german THG quota payout tonne of CO2 be in 2025?

Jan 2, 10:37 AMFeb 28, 10:59 PM

249

OptionProbability

90€ - <100€

80€ - <90€

100€ - <120€

≥200€

120€ - <140€

60€ - <70€

70€ - <80€

140€ - <160€

<40€

40€ - <50€

50€ - <60€

160€ - <180€

180€ - <200€

15

14

12

10

9

7

7

7

4

4

4

4

4

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 7, 2025
Aug 7, 2025
Germany
Tariffs
Automobile
German Auto Lobby Presses US to Lift Section 232 Tariffs After Stalled Deal
Authors
4
6 days ago

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