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Prediction markets for German government
Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?
Jan 22, 4:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
12%chance
2423827
OptionVotes
12196
9630
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
57.71%chance
8118684
OptionVotes
1157
893
Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) be part of the German government by 2026?
Jul 14, 9:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1.14%chance
4116734
OptionVotes
7241
743
Will Germany recognize the State of Palestine within 2 years of Ireland, Norway and Spain?
May 28, 3:20 PMMay 29, 8:59 PM
10%chance
407788
OptionVotes
3591
300
Will Deutsche Bank AG be bailed out by the German government before 2026?
Mar 25, 12:30 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM
2.61%chance
185941
OptionVotes
6575
490
Will Germany give up paper correspondence before the technological singularity happens?
May 22, 10:42 AMOct 29, 9:59 PM
17.59%chance
172707
OptionVotes
2165
462
Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?
Sep 3, 8:09 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
15%chance
242275
OptionVotes
1020
459
Will the German standard VAT rate increase by December 31st 2025?
Feb 12, 6:51 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM
12.86%chance
71603
OptionVotes
2603
384
Will I (@Lion) pay a fine for being a Manifold Partner to the local authorities?
Dec 30, 2:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
54.16%chance
18716
OptionVotes
1087
920
Will the CDU in eastern german states try to form a government with the far-right AfD after the next election?
Jan 18, 11:03 AMDec 31, 7:25 AM
11.37%chance
8537
OptionVotes
323
100
OptionVotes
414
140
Will the German government revert cannabis legalization in the next 4 years?
May 3, 7:19 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM
12.73%chance
11269
OptionVotes
262
38
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