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Global South News

Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit 2025 Held Aug 31-Sept 1 in Tianjin With Leaders From 20+ Countries and 10 Intl Organizations

Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit 2025 Held Aug 31-Sept 1 in Tianjin With Leaders From 20+ Countries and 10 Intl Organizations

8

11 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Asserts U.S. Leads China in Artificial Intelligence Race

6

1 year ago

U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?

Jun 9, 2:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.74%chance

3437147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135189

102092

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.87%chance

234991

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5409

2578

Vanadium in VRFBs reach 20% of global vanadium consumption by 2030?

Nov 26, 5:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.02%chance

124690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1363

735

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.68%chance

133709

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6632

3220

Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?

Apr 22, 4:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.04%chance

213320

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3203

822

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

884

WW3 begins in 2026

Jan 6, 7:33 PMJun 6, 9:59 PM

4.01%chance

11644

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

96

Will the Church of England take an affirming stance on gay marriage by 2030?

Apr 4, 12:03 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

62.87%chance

16250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1166

885

Will South Africa's PGM output decline exceed 5% YoY in 2025?

Feb 9, 6:01 PMFeb 9, 6:01 PM

41.9%chance

2120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

954

Will a Global South pavilion win the Golden Lion at Venice 2026?

Feb 16, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.84%chance

280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

926

Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 65 kt?

Mar 30, 9:43 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

45.82%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109

92

Who will hold the Raeburn Shield at the end of 2026?

Dec 17, 3:29 AMDec 31, 3:21 AM

219

OptionProbability

England

France

New Zealand

Ireland

Australia

South Africa

Scotland

Fiji

Argentina

Italy

Other

12

11

10

10

10

9

9

7

7

7

7

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