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Top stories

Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit 2025 Held Aug 31-Sept 1 in Tianjin With Leaders From 20+ Countries and 10 Intl Organizations

Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit 2025 Held Aug 31-Sept 1 in Tianjin With Leaders From 20+ Countries and 10 Intl Organizations

Authors

8

3 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Asserts U.S. Leads China in Artificial Intelligence Race

Authors

6

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Global South

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.26%chance

224741

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5159

2655

USA's 2025 Economist Democracy Index score?

Apr 17, 8:07 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

124712

OptionProbability

7 - 7.99

6 - 6.99

5 - 5.99

Below 5

8 - 8.99

9 - 10

55

28

14

1

1

1

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.96%chance

123209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6132

3376

Will South Korea withdraw from the NPT by 2026?

Apr 22, 4:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.75%chance

151050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

940

Will the Church of England take an affirming stance on gay marriage by 2030?

Apr 4, 12:03 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

62.87%chance

16250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1166

885

Vanadium in VRFBs reach 20% of global vanadium consumption by 2030?

Nov 26, 5:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.89%chance

4231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

959

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