OptionProbability
Gemini - Google
GPT - OpenAI
Claude - Anthropic
Grok - xAI
Llama - Meta
Qwen - Alibaba
Other
SenseNova - SenseTime
Mistral AI - Mistral
Sakana AI - Sakana
Yi - 01.AI
40
19
12
10
9
4
1
0
Nobody (linked market resolves NO)
Google (eg Gemini)
OpenAI (eg ChatGPT)
Anthropic (eg Claude)
IBM (eg Watson)
Microsoft (eg Copilot)
Mira (https://x.com/_Mira___Mira_)
DeepSeek
Amazon
Meta
62
17
8
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1890
882
275
61
305
33
478
135
111
90
367
27
First half of 2025
Second half of 2025
2026 or later
Q3 2024
Q4 2024
Q1 2024
Q2 2024
22
11
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