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Hagrid News

    Prediction markets for Hagrid

    OptionProbability

    Ron Weasley is a redhead

    Snape is black

    Harry Potter is white

    At least one named character from the book has their race changed

    An actor who acted in the movies returns for the show

    Harry, Ron, and Hermione’s actors will all be British

    Harry Potter doesn't cast a single spoken, working spell in the first episode

    Dumbledore casts a spell (spoken or wordlessly)

    Fred and George are twins irl

    Hagrid is played by an actor who is under 6'4"

    McGonagall performs an animagus transformation (human2cat or cat2human)

    A History of Magic lesson is shown on screen

    A character cut from the movies appears (ie Theodore Nott)

    Premieres in 2026

    The potion riddle guarding the Stone will be featured

    Quirrel is wearing a head covering when Harry first meets him

    Hermione’s parent(s) shown on screen

    Ron Weasley doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first two episodes

    Malfoy has white blonde hair

    Arthur Weasley is shown on screen

    Cornelius Fudge is shown on screen

    Peeves is a reoccurring character

    JK Rowling is credited as both an executive producer and original writer

    There’s a scene set before Harry is born

    Hagrid says "You’re a wizard, Harry"

    Harry first sees Hogwarts castle in episode 2

    Arabella Figg is mentioned by first or last name

    A slur is uttered by any character

    A wand is visibly placed into, or drawn from, a character's pocket/robes more times than a wand is set down on a table or desk

    It's woke

    A scene depicts Voldemort trying to kill baby Harry

    mandrake root on screen

    It will be torrentfreak.com's "Most Pirated" TV show for its year of release or the following year

    80% or higher on rotten tomatoes

    An Astronomy lesson is shown on screen

    Luna Lovegood, Cho Chang, or Cedric Diggory are mentioned by first or last name, or are in the credits

    The total number of times the word 'Harry' is spoken across the season is strictly greater than 3.5 times the number of times the word 'Potter' is spoken

    A house elf is shown on screen

    Harry Potter is on-screen for at least 4 hours total

    More Great Horned Owls appear than Barn Owls

    A character who is named Dave or David appears in the show

    At least one named character from the book has their gender swapped

    Hagrid ties Vernon’s gun into a knot

    The Quibbler is shown or mentioned

    Homosexual interaction between some characters will be presented

    The cumulative screen time of Neville Longbottom's toad, Trevor, is strictly greater than the cumulative screen time of Argus Filch's cat, Mrs. Norris

    Season is nominated for Outstanding Drama Series at the Emmys

    Goblins are still represented as anti-semitic caricatures

    The Flying Ford Anglia is seen.

    The Weasley's Ford Anglia is seen flying

    Harry is shown holding more than three different wands at Ollivander’s

    Harry first sees Hogwarts castle in episode 3

    Harry visits Platform 9 3/4 in episode 1

    An actor who appeared in any of the Jackass films receives a credit on IMDB related to the show

    VOLDEMORT HAS A NOSE

    Hagrid presents a cake with writing on it to Harry and the writing has no misspellings

    Harry visits Diagon Alley in episode 1

    "Voldemort" has a silent "t"

    Dobby makes an appearance

    90% or higher on rotten tomatoes

    Premieres on strongly symbolic date (like July 31, 21.12)

    The intro theme song will have at least one obvious English word

    At least one of the actors is transgender

    It ends on a cliff hanger

    Harry only reaches Hogwarts in the last 10 minutes of the first episode

    Harry Potter doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first three episode

    Any Harry Potter fanfic is referenced (either explicitly as judged by market creator, or confirmed by someone who works on the show)

    actor in the show wins an Emmy for acting

    Hermione is white

    Hermione is Indian

    Features an explicitly transgender character

    We see a wizarding school other than Hogwarts

    JK Rowling makes a cameo appearance

    Quirrel shakes Harry’s hand during their first meeting

    Premieres in 2027

    Awkwafina is cast in the show

    Hermione is black

    Smartphone shown within Hogwarts

    Hagrid is played by an actor with a cognitive disability

    There will be seven CGI dwarves

    Rita Skeeter will have an explicit trans identity

    Keir Starmer is in it

    set in the 2020s

    set in 2025

    Adolf Hitler is mentioned

    Harry, Ron, and Hermione will all be transgender

    We get AGI before it premieres

    Voldemort is a woman

    Hagrid is black

    Yudkowsky makes an appearance

    Fred and George have the same actor

    HPMOR is referenced

    Gandalf is black

    One or more of Hermione, Ron, and Harry have their genders swapped.

    Zendaya is cast in the show

    Set in the year 2077

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