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Holocaust News

    Prediction markets for Holocaust

    OptionProbability

    Contains egregious, easily verified falsehoods

    Contains AI-generated articles

    Accessible without login

    Standalone website (not just a Twitter/X feature)

    Content is under a free license

    Has 10,000+ articles

    Contains a "Wikipedia" article

    No entry for Mechahitler

    Has an entry for Manifold Markets

    Will actually be called "Grokipedia"

    it is cringe

    It's proven (within a week after release) that Musk has personally influenced at least one article (eg. manual correction, edits to the prompt for just that article, “de-biasing”, etc)

    left-wingers perceive that it is biased against them

    States that the race/ethnicity differences in IQ are mostly or entirely genetic

    Larry Sanger inserts himself into it somehow

    Uses Cloudflare to defend from scrapers

    Anyone can edit

    Administered by a partially-human editorial board

    Users will only be able to edit by prompting AI for changes

    Released in 2026

    Articles written in 10+ languages

    Has a way to see what specifically about an article was changed in a similar way to Wikipedia and other adjacent wikis

    right-wingers perceive that it is biased against them

    Grok will routinely check it when answering questions

    Manifold likes it, according to a poll

    Not released before 2030

    Contains advertisements

    Will be called Encyclopedia Galactica

    has an official app on the Apple App Store

    Uses a preexisting wiki engine or CMS

    States that the death toll of the (Jewish) Holocaust was <3 million

    Released in 2025

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    35

    24

    24

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    15

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    9

    4

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    0

    OptionProbability

    secret cabal of pedophiles in high places

    The UK did Nordstream

    JFK wasn't killed by LHO acting alone and on his own initiative.

    Emperor Nero didn't kill himself

    Bill or Hillary Clinton had someone whacked

    massive mail ballot fraud in 2020

    Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself

    US government found intelligent extraterrestrials

    Trump is a Russian agent

    John McAfee didn't kill himself

    Chemtrails

    The Boeing whistleblower didn't kill himself

    Harold Holt didn't drown or was whacked

    Jimmy Hoffa was whacked

    Capote ghostwrote To Kill a Mockingbird

    The Holocaust was largely exaggerated

    The moon landing was faked

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    1

    OptionProbability

    Vaccines are safe

    JFK was assassinated by Lee Harvey Oswald acting alone.

    The Holocaust was real and ~6M Jewish people were murdered in it

    Climate change is real and caused by humans

    The Apollo moon landings were genuine

    The Earth is round

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    13

    4

    2

    2

    2

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2132

    890

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    371

    27

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