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Prediction markets for home

Will Tesla offer autonomous vehicle delivery to customers' homes in 2025?

Apr 15, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

7915760

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

Will a utility suggest customers leave their home AC on full-blast during the day because of net-negative demand by '26?

Jan 27, 2:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.68%chance

505971

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3000

768

Will we be able to print a smart humanoid bot at home by 2030?

Jul 12, 4:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

231848

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1732

577

In what state will the Kansas City Chiefs play a majority of their home games in the 2031 NFL season?

Jul 24, 2:54 AMJan 26, 5:59 AM

31771

OptionProbability

Missouri

Kansas

Other

70

28

2

100k unauthorized immigrants “self-deport” using CBP Home app by 2026?

May 5, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.25%chance

81535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1984

504

Will Windows 12 Home require an active subscription?

May 27, 10:03 PMJun 4, 2:59 AM

14.45%chance

171456

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2433

411

Will I have a reliable automated home cleaner by 2028?

Sep 29, 6:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

46.35%chance

25776

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1162

753

Will the federal government pass a law which would prevent hedge funds from owning single-family homes before 2026?

Dec 10, 1:54 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.14%chance

16673

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1306

923

During the Trump presidency, will median home prices in Washington DC dip below 500k?

Nov 9, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.59%chance

9585

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1185

844

In 2030, will Maldives Floating City be home to at least 2,000 people?

Aug 1, 10:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.59%chance

16347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

950

Will the nutritional mix for baby formula turn out to be relatively harmful compared to foods that could have have been assembled at home with ingredients that can be commonly found in an American ?

May 20, 1:20 PMMay 28, 3:59 AM

15.37%chance

14317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

868

Where will the Athletics MLB team play their home games in 2028?

Jun 22, 11:13 PMApr 1, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Las Vegas (including Paradise)

Sacramento (including West Sacramento)

Somewhere within the San Francisco Bay Area

Somewhere else in California

Somewhere else outside California

20

20

20

20

20

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