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Prediction markets for Hong Kong
OptionProbability
97
96
96
96
95
94
91
90
90
89
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86
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85
84
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82
80
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66
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60
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55
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50
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50
47
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25
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20
17
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11
9
8
8
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5
5
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
These countries do not allow visitors with a felony conviction. Which will Trump travel to during his current term?
Feb 24, 8:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6436635
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
99
67
34
31
28
26
24
24
19
18
17
15
15
15
15
14
14
13
13
11
10
9
9
8
8
7
7
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Hong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?
Aug 3, 7:21 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
10.49%chance
384801
OptionVotes
5818
803
OptionVotes
738
77
OptionProbability
27
18
16
13
9
8
4
3
1
Will any of the 'Hong Kong Eight' appear in police custody in Hong Kong before 2028?
Jul 11, 9:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
32.63%chance
4144
OptionVotes
122
99
OptionVotes
107
104
OptionVotes
93
52
OptionVotes
94
83
Will Taylor Swift perform a concert in Hong Kong before 2028?
Feb 15, 1:23 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
27.94%chance
340
OptionVotes
130
66
Will Singapore rank higher than Hong Kong in the 2026 Fraser Institute Economic Freedom of the World Index?
Jul 18, 6:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54.75%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
91
What will the winning margin be in the Australia-Hong Kong game at the Men's Rugby World Cup?
Feb 3, 7:14 AMNov 13, 11:59 PM
110
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
14
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