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Prediction markets for Hong Kong
These countries do not allow visitors with a felony conviction. Which will Trump travel to during his current term?
Feb 24, 8:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5431744
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
88
71
40
34
34
31
30
29
28
28
26
20
20
18
17
16
15
15
14
14
14
12
11
10
9
9
8
7
7
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Hong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?
Aug 3, 7:21 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
18.47%chance
343056
OptionVotes
4073
1087
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
61
55
55
55
50
50
50
50
10
5
OptionVotes
738
77
OptionProbability
72
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
27
18
16
13
9
8
4
3
1
Will any of the 'Hong Kong Eight' appear in police custody in Hong Kong before 2028?
Jul 11, 9:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
32.63%chance
4144
OptionVotes
122
99
OptionVotes
107
104
Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC before 2047?
Nov 13, 3:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
43.75%chance
553
OptionVotes
79
62
OptionVotes
94
83
Will Taylor Swift perform a concert in Hong Kong before 2028?
Feb 15, 1:23 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
27.94%chance
340
OptionVotes
130
66
What will the winning margin be in the Australia-Hong Kong game at the Men's Rugby World Cup?
Feb 3, 7:14 AMNov 13, 11:59 PM
110
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
14
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