Hurricane News
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Prediction markets for Hurricane
OptionProbability
98
1
0
0
0
0
Which names will be used for hurricanes in the 2026 Hurricane Season?
May 21, 3:51 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
1825055
OptionProbability
100
8
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
79
8
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will at least one major hurricane make landfall in the US*?
Jul 28, 12:12 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM
2.45%chance
365868
OptionVotes
1734
20
In which US states will hurricanes make landfall this Atlantic season?
May 18, 8:38 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
155792
OptionProbability
100
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
Which storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Apr 9, 7:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
144748
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
47
9
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
Will the hurricane wind speed record be broken before 2028?
Mar 22, 12:44 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
22.89%chance
304247
OptionVotes
1614
693
Will california be hit by a hurricane before January 1rst 2028
Aug 20, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.81%chance
303193
OptionVotes
2655
589
Will a hurricane be designated "Category 6" on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale by the NHC by the end of 2030?
Feb 6, 12:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
28.15%chance
14578
OptionVotes
131
67
[Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
Nov 2, 12:34 AMJan 2, 5:00 AM
24.78%chance
16533
OptionVotes
199
47
Will there be 110 or more retired Atlantic hurricane names by the end of 2028?
Dec 9, 12:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20.07%chance
6323
OptionVotes
205
67
Will a hurricane in the North Atlantic basin during the 2027 season have it's name retired?
Sep 26, 12:49 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM
62.53%chance
6132
OptionVotes
150
44


