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Prediction markets for ICE
Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
40.67%chance
10224340
OptionVotes
2508
1542
(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?
Sep 11, 9:11 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
42.2%chance
7321608
OptionVotes
7855
4095
Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?
Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
7.39%chance
2112795
OptionVotes
13866
3633
Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
Jan 19, 10:53 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM
23.16%chance
799625
OptionVotes
1821
549
Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
87.94%chance
596459
OptionVotes
2046
1123
Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?
Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
66.51%chance
576376
OptionVotes
1155
893
Will the UK Government establish a dedicated immigration enforcement agency similar to US ICE by end of 2026?
Jun 22, 3:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.08%chance
182716
OptionVotes
1562
640
Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026?
Jan 10, 1:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66.77%chance
232215
OptionVotes
1418
706
Will the Antarctic sea ice extent reach at least 25 million square kilometers at least once this century?
Apr 7, 9:12 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
14.16%chance
301266
OptionVotes
1328
1049
Will NASA's Europa Clipper confirm liquid water under the ice?
Oct 18, 1:02 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM
76.55%chance
11959
OptionVotes
1807
553
Widespread reports of ICE or DHS agents guarding polling stations during Trump II
Aug 15, 4:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM
65.86%chance
5613
OptionVotes
1389
720
Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050?
Apr 23, 12:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
73%chance
12574
OptionVotes
1031
835
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