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Prediction markets for ICE
Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?
Jan 22, 5:29 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
20.33%chance
3421610
OptionVotes
16274
7680
(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?
Sep 11, 9:11 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
47.82%chance
7020039
OptionVotes
7145
4676
Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
45.56%chance
8517148
OptionVotes
2279
1711
Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
Mar 20, 12:36 AMSep 19, 11:00 PM
54.7%chance
916084
OptionVotes
1116
757
Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
84.58%chance
545914
OptionVotes
1630
1188
Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?
Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
66%chance
502545
OptionVotes
1139
901
Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?
Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
18.67%chance
171570
OptionVotes
6171
4649
Will NASA's Europa Clipper confirm liquid water under the ice?
Oct 18, 1:02 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM
75.44%chance
9859
OptionVotes
1753
571
Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050?
Apr 23, 12:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
72.88%chance
11474
OptionVotes
1033
831
ICE anonymity in Los Angeles limited by December 31, 2025?
Jul 7, 4:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.65%chance
11273
OptionVotes
1208
828
Anti-EV or Pro-ICE vehicle lobbying group at least 1/10 as big as the NRA by 2035
Jun 19, 1:18 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
49.62%chance
12232
OptionVotes
1074
917
ICE Assistant Chief Counsel James Rodden, "GlomarResponder," leaves role/is fired before December 31, 2025
Feb 19, 11:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000
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