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Prediction markets for ICE
(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?
Sep 11, 9:11 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
41.65%chance
7321461
OptionVotes
7930
4041
Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
45.98%chance
9519841
OptionVotes
2264
1728
OptionProbability
28
25
23
13
6
5
Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
Jan 19, 10:53 PMNov 10, 11:59 PM
49.39%chance
708190
OptionVotes
1012
988
Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
88.12%chance
566365
OptionVotes
2074
1119
Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
Mar 20, 12:36 AMSep 19, 11:00 PM
52.36%chance
946319
OptionVotes
1154
713
Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?
Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10.68%chance
195588
OptionVotes
10173
3993
Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?
Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
66%chance
532756
OptionVotes
1139
901
Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026?
Jan 10, 1:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66.79%chance
232199
OptionVotes
1419
706
Will the Antarctic sea ice extent reach at least 25 million square kilometers at least once this century?
Apr 7, 9:12 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
14.16%chance
301266
OptionVotes
1328
1049
Widespread reports of ICE or DHS agents guarding polling stations during Trump II
Aug 15, 4:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM
65.86%chance
5613
OptionVotes
1389
720
Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050?
Apr 23, 12:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
74.35%chance
12524
OptionVotes
1015
881
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