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Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Jun 30, 12:21 AMOct 2, 12:25 PM
12%chance
7248
OptionVotes
270
40
Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31?
Jul 16, 1:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100