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Top stories

Microsoft Tests AI Semantic File Search in Windows 11 Copilot

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Insider

1000 american troops inside Iran by EOY?

Mar 14, 6:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.32%chance

7013229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2798

357

Anyone indicted for insider trading or market manipulation for 4/7/25 events?

Apr 7, 2:51 PMMar 1, 3:50 PM

3.52%chance

266473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5236

191

Will Donald Trump ever see the inside of a JAIL Cell? (Not a prison cell)

Aug 15, 11:15 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11.36%chance

325831

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2715

410

Will Donald Trump ever see the inside of a PRISON Cell? (Not a jail cell)

Aug 15, 11:16 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

12.74%chance

265458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2521

505

Will the alleged 2022/11/11 FTX hack turn out to be an inside job?

Nov 12, 8:46 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

9.46%chance

253489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1985

474

Was 9/11 an inside job? (2100)

Oct 19, 3:51 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

7.03%chance

272892

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1941

866

Will Japan have a general AI company with a valuation of $1 bil+ primarily doing research inside of its borders by 2028?

Jan 2, 7:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.77%chance

342241

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1330

785

Will New Zealand allow any nuclear bombs or nuclear reactors inside its territory before 2030?

Dec 12, 11:49 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

9.49%chance

282209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2837

553

Will there be an “Inside Out 3” by 1st January 2035?

Jun 26, 11:57 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

87.79%chance

92022

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2682

373

Is there currently a black hole inside the Earth?

Oct 19, 6:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.51%chance

171830

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1662

923

Do we live inside a black hole?

Apr 2, 7:10 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.31%chance

361102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1368

916

What fraction of knowledge is inside the affine hull of existing knowledge?

Dec 4, 12:51 PMDec 5, 12:38 PM

22.08%chance

10882

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1879

532

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