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Prediction markets for Instagram
OptionVotes
2845
352
Which of the following social platforms will die first? (die = lose >50% of average monthly active users YoY)
Dec 20, 11:06 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
541809
OptionProbability
72
17
9
2
0
Which major social media platforms will implement community notes by 2030? (FIXED)
Jan 8, 12:53 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
71076
OptionProbability
96
88
83
53
48
47
27
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2027?
Jan 11, 1:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
25.93%chance
17753
OptionVotes
1442
875
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2028?
Jan 11, 1:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
39.59%chance
17549
OptionVotes
1052
951
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2026?
Jan 11, 1:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
34.37%chance
17474
OptionVotes
1131
919
On which platform will RulesGuru have the most followers at the end of 2025?
Jul 31, 8:43 AMJan 1, 6:53 PM
7292
OptionProbability
76
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
OptionVotes
199
50
What year will Ovechkin's instagram profile picture be one without Putin for the first time?
Jan 14, 12:18 AMJan 2, 9:59 PM
1187
OptionProbability
75
6
6
6
6
1
By when will any of the the UK/EU/US enact content regulation on short form videos (TikTok, Instagram Reels, etc)
Feb 22, 6:11 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
2165
OptionProbability
60
56
50
40
39
Will Instagram have less than half a bilion active monthly users by 2028?
Apr 8, 7:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.22%chance
6162
OptionVotes
246
41
When will more questions be sent daily on ChatGPT than on Facebook apps (Messenger and Instagram, etc)?
Dec 5, 12:47 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
390
OptionProbability
30
15
15
15
15
5
5