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Iran News

Israel Pounds Gaza and Intercepts Yemeni Drone, Missile in Escalating Conflict

Israel Pounds Gaza and Intercepts Yemeni Drone, Missile in Escalating Conflict

11

7 months ago

Israel Strikes Sanaa Again, Probing Reports of Houthi Leadership Deaths

Israel Strikes Sanaa Again, Probing Reports of Houthi Leadership Deaths

44

7 months ago

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Dec 31, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.25%chance

17412342998

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11876

8833

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

57.19%chance

193358760

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1157

866

How many weeks will the US–Iran war last?

Mar 7, 9:10 AMApr 8, 9:59 PM

328154774

OptionProbability

Above 1 week

Above 2 weeks (Mar 14)

Above 3 weeks (Mar 21)

Above 4 weeks (Mar 28)

Above 6 weeks (Apr 11)

Above 9 weeks (May 2)

Above 13 weeks (May 30)

Above 20 weeks (Jul 18)

Above 35 weeks (Oct 31)

Above 55 weeks (Mar 20, 2027)

Above 80 weeks (Sep 11, 2027)

Above 110 weeks (Apr 8, 2028)

100

100

100

98

93

77

64

45

36

29

17

15

Will the US put boots on the ground in Iran in 2026?

Mar 4, 3:17 AMJan 1, 3:16 AM

74%chance

696126206

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

646

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2158150

OptionProbability

No

Yes

97

3

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Feb 3, 3:21 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

15.23%chance

8334605

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2359

424

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Jan 5, 5:28 AMDec 27, 9:59 PM

16%chance

8415122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

578

54

Will America send troops to Iran?

Jan 13, 4:44 PMDec 31, 4:42 PM

64.62%chance

8312028

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1612

656

Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030?

Jun 23, 3:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.19%chance

7112012

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5576

2992

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Mar 13, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.02%chance

848711

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7305

5306

Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?

Jun 24, 9:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.04%chance

426686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3946

254

If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?

Mar 16, 5:30 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

52.21%chance

141650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2226

1618

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