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Islamic State News

US Foreign Policy

Bipartisan U.S. Lawmakers Press Israel to Halt Syria Strikes

4

7 months ago

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Feb 3, 3:21 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

15.23%chance

8334605

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2359

424

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

Jan 3, 3:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

8324930

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7870

2985

Iran Government falls before end of March 2026

Mar 3, 4:51 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

3.09%chance

6211690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5599

179

Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?

Mar 3, 2:11 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

2.05%chance

383057

OptionVotes

YES

NO

691

14

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

33.55%chance

182209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1407

711

Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027

Mar 7, 12:40 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

15.16%chance

191786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2366

423

Will the Iranian regime fall by end of June?

Mar 2, 10:03 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

11.84%chance

331247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

273

37

Outcome of Operation Epic Fury (Iran 2026):

Mar 12, 3:08 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

10969

OptionProbability

Unyielding Islamic Regime

Deal with minimal concessions

Balkanization/long civil war

Deal with major concessions

Military coup (Artesh)

Popular takeover

Venezuela-style puppet state

Voluntary transition of power

42

21

20

9

3

3

1

1

How much did the 2025/06/21 U.S. strikes on Iran delay the nuclear weapon program?

Jun 22, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4543

OptionProbability

>3 months

>6 months

>1 year

>2 years

>5 years

77

56

45

35

20

Will donald trump strike nigeria again

Dec 27, 6:20 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

57.73%chance

14401

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

86

Will Bangladesh turn into an Islamic Republic by 2030?

Dec 16, 10:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.59%chance

7343

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

73

Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?

Feb 20, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.6%chance

10139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

116

86

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Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Middle East
War
US Foreign Policy
Bipartisan U.S. Lawmakers Press Israel to Halt Syria Strikes
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4
7 months ago

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