IT News

Parallels Desktop 26 Launches With macOS Tahoe, Windows 11 25H2 Support

10 months ago

can you just balenciaga it? Before 2028

Jun 7, 4:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46%chance

77806961

OptionVotes

YES

1083

923

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

24.84%chance

783394684

OptionVotes

YES

6715

3343

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.1%chance

88132314

OptionVotes

YES

2739

903

EOY 2030, how difficult will it be to get gender affirming care (puberty blockers, HRT) for a minor in California?

Jan 22, 7:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47106751

OptionProbability

About the same as in 2024

Notably more difficult than in 2024

Notably easier than in 2024

Virtually impossible

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?

Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

70.9%chance

17525270

OptionVotes

YES

11950

9069

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

34.5%chance

6422808

OptionVotes

YES

13402

7535

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20%chance

3814920

OptionVotes

YES

18124

6187

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

55.37%chance

659769

OptionVotes

YES

11107

9009

If I buy physical indium for investment, will I regret it in 5 years from now?

May 24, 1:59 AMMay 5, 3:59 AM

58.04%chance

828232

OptionVotes

YES

12716

9569

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Apr 14, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.46%chance

257454

OptionVotes

YES

15108

6619

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Jul 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71040

OptionProbability

Other "loud" outcome

non-hedonic utilitronium

Orgasmium

Matrioshka brains to simulate zillions of ems

initiate vacuum collapse

It will be "quiet" and not significantly alter the rest of the universe.

Paperclips or widgets

Matrioshka brains to simulate torture of everyone who didn't help create it

Literal rats on literal heroin

Wait till carbon white dwarfs cool enough to turn to diamond and then cut them into cool shapes

Will it be possible to create a human embryo through an API by 2050?

Jun 14, 1:40 AMDec 1, 5:59 AM

35.35%chance

7876

OptionVotes

YES

10313

9761

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Prediction markets for IT

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can you just balenciaga it? Before 2028

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

EOY 2030, how difficult will it be to get gender affirming care (puberty blockers, HRT) for a minor in California?

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?

OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

If I buy physical indium for investment, will I regret it in 5 years from now?

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

If AI wipes out humanity, what will it make of the universe?

Will it be possible to create a human embryo through an API by 2050?

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