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Prediction markets for Italy

Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030

Aug 27, 5:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

16.06%chance

254359

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1718

761

Will we be able to buy a €25k autonomous car that doesn't require driving license in mid 2029 in Italy?

Jun 2, 12:42 PMJun 2, 9:59 PM

12%chance

353316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2708

369

What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2025?

May 20, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52028

OptionProbability

4.6 to 5.0

Up to 4.5

5.1 to 5.5

5.6 to 6.0

More than 6.1

Other

66

13

5

5

5

5

Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Dec 5, 9:35 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

80.12%chance

291938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1042

620

Will Italy remove the ban on nuclear power by 2028 ?

Feb 22, 1:44 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

30%chance

391815

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1055

804

Will Italy be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?

Dec 23, 9:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

87.25%chance

231363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

988

923

Will a bridge across the Strait of Messina between mainland Italy and Sicily have started construction by 2030?

Jul 5, 9:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

43.12%chance

20898

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

953

Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?

Apr 15, 5:50 PMOct 21, 10:59 PM

27.33%chance

12889

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

816

Will Italy be a member state of the European Union by the start of 2030?

Dec 16, 8:13 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

90.57%chance

11478

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1224

950

Will Italy qualify on the field for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Jun 7, 12:45 PMApr 15, 10:59 PM

85.26%chance

11252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

241

42

Will any municipality in Northern Italy move to an autonomous region by 2030?

Aug 3, 4:34 PMDec 4, 4:59 AM

62.17%chance

691

OptionVotes

NO

YES

141

117

Conditional on a Sicily-mainland bridge NOT being built, will unemployment in Sicily decrease wrt to Italy?

Oct 26, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.39%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

46

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