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Top stories

Galatasaray Bids €10 Million for Man City’s Ederson as City Eyes Donnarumma

Galatasaray Bids €10 Million for Man City’s Ederson as City Eyes Donnarumma

Authors

3

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Italy

Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030

Aug 27, 5:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

22.16%chance

285057

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1302

858

Will a bridge across the Strait of Messina between mainland Italy and Sicily have started construction by 2030?

Jul 5, 9:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

79.76%chance

294385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2016

427

Will we be able to buy a €25k autonomous car that doesn't require driving license in mid 2029 in Italy?

Jun 2, 12:42 PMJun 2, 9:59 PM

9.8%chance

363641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3033

330

Will Italy remove the ban on nuclear power by 2028 ?

Feb 22, 1:44 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

39.67%chance

422223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1172

582

Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?

Apr 15, 5:50 PMOct 21, 10:59 PM

48.46%chance

151621

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1288

402

Will Italy be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?

Dec 23, 9:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

87.25%chance

231363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

988

923

Will there be a bridge open to traffic between Sicily and Italy at the end of 2029?

Mar 4, 3:55 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.37%chance

16672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

354

28

Will Italy be a member state of the European Union by the start of 2030?

Dec 16, 8:13 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

91.43%chance

15609

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1343

938

Will there be widespread gas rationing at the pump in Italy by noon May 21, 2026 (local time)?

Apr 5, 9:23 PMMay 21, 11:59 AM

30.18%chance

8521

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1521

657

What percentage of votes will the Partito Democratico win in the upcoming general election in Italy?

Jan 19, 3:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.5%chance

3356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10232

9936

Who will be Italy's next prime minister after Giorgia Meloni?

Jan 1, 3:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3320

OptionProbability

Giuseppe Conte

Other

Elly Schlein

Antonio Tajani

Matteo Salvini

Carlo Calenda

Matteo Renzi

Angelo Bonelli

Nicola Fratoianni

Silvia Salis

Luca Zaia

Antonio Decaro

Paolo Gentiloni

24

23

20

6

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

2

Conditional on a Sicily-mainland bridge being built, will unemployment in Sicily decrease wrt to Italy?

Oct 26, 2:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64%chance

431

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

93

Latest stories

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Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
Soccer
Sports
Galatasaray Bids €10 Million for Man City’s Ederson as City Eyes Donnarumma
Authors
3
9 months ago

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