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Prediction markets for IVE
Will a Jony Ive and Sam Altman collaboration lead to a hardware device intended for consumer use, released before 2030.
Sep 28, 1:58 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
73.01%chance
285333
OptionVotes
1356
824
OptionVotes
3573
281
What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]
May 22, 7:01 AMDec 31, 7:56 AM
404363
OptionProbability
34
27
24
15
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
97
97
94
89
88
85
61
59
59
57
56
50
49
43
42
42
36
34
10
6
5
0
OptionProbability
100
100
100
99
98
98
96
83
72
60
54
50
30
8
OptionProbability
33
14
14
14
9
8
5
5
📻Which artists on the Billboard Hot 100 Singles (2023) will have a song make the list in 5 years?
Feb 11, 8:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
321446
OptionProbability
93
88
88
85
83
81
80
79
78
78
76
73
73
66
66
66
66
66
66
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
44
41
38
34
34
34
34
24
24
17
When will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀
May 26, 9:22 AMJul 26, 9:20 AM
19734
OptionProbability
66
24
8
1
OptionProbability
70
20
10
Will YouTube Comments make it into a major LLM by EOY 2027?
Nov 10, 6:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
61.95%chance
543
OptionVotes
124
99
OptionProbability
16
13
12
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
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