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Top stories

Sheinbaum Backs Electoral Reform as Hugo Aguilar Leads Suprema Corte and PAN to Preside Chamber of Deputies

Sheinbaum Backs Electoral Reform as Hugo Aguilar Leads Suprema Corte and PAN to Preside Chamber of Deputies

Authors

6

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Judicial Election

Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia?

Jul 17, 8:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54111488

OptionProbability

Democratic

Republican

90

10

Will Joe Biden win 2,024 elections?

May 9, 5:41 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

1.61%chance

2311669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6066

733

Will Donald Trump win 2,024 elections?

May 9, 5:39 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

3.63%chance

239158

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3214

816

Will the Presidio Trust be Dissolved by End of 2026?

Feb 20, 2:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.46%chance

73401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2433

411

Trump sends uniformed military to polling stations during 2026 midterm elections?

Dec 12, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.27%chance

191582

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1675

597

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Jul 21, 9:57 AMAug 28, 10:59 PM

18.94%chance

8485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

207

48

Will Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate?

Aug 24, 7:17 PMApr 10, 9:59 PM

5.15%chance

8470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

429

23

Will significant prosecutorial reform be enacted in South Korea by 2028?

Dec 13, 12:20 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

65.24%chance

3390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1370

730

Will Bolsonaro be declared ineligible for the 2030 general elections?

Jul 8, 11:11 AMOct 6, 2:59 AM

85.22%chance

9344

OptionVotes

NO

YES

305

56

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Mar 25, 3:17 AMDec 31, 3:15 AM

3175

OptionProbability

No members leave or defect before parliament dissolves

Before 1 July 2026

July to December 2026

During 2027

2028 or later

27

18

18

18

18

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.99%chance

7157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Italy: Will Parliament curb prosecutors' judicial police powers by EOY 2029? (unconditional)

Mar 12, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.23%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

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