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Judicial Election News

Sheinbaum Backs Electoral Reform as Hugo Aguilar Leads Suprema Corte and PAN to Preside Chamber of Deputies

Sheinbaum Backs Electoral Reform as Hugo Aguilar Leads Suprema Corte and PAN to Preside Chamber of Deputies

6

1 year ago

Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Georgia?

Jul 17, 8:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59112544

OptionProbability

Democratic

Republican

95

5

Will Joe Biden win 2,024 elections?

May 9, 5:41 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

1.61%chance

2311669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6066

733

Will Donald Trump win 2,024 elections?

May 9, 5:39 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

3.63%chance

239158

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3214

816

How much time will Jair Bolsonaro spend in jail (not house arrest) by Dec 31, 2031?

Sep 12, 1:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

123916

OptionProbability

1+ days

30+ days

365+ days

180+ days

730+ days

1825+ days

0 days

100

100

55

54

46

22

0

Will the Presidio Trust be Dissolved by End of 2026?

Feb 20, 2:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.46%chance

73401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2433

411

Trump sends uniformed military to polling stations during 2026 midterm elections?

Dec 12, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.27%chance

191582

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1675

597

Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?

Jul 21, 9:57 AMAug 28, 10:59 PM

18.94%chance

8485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

207

48

Will Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate?

Aug 24, 7:17 PMApr 10, 9:59 PM

5.15%chance

8470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

429

23

Will Bolsonaro be declared ineligible for the 2030 general elections?

Jul 8, 11:11 AMOct 6, 2:59 AM

85.22%chance

9344

OptionVotes

NO

YES

305

56

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Mar 25, 3:17 AMDec 31, 3:15 AM

3175

OptionProbability

No members leave or defect before parliament dissolves

Before 1 July 2026

July to December 2026

During 2027

2028 or later

27

18

18

18

18

Will any US state use the 14th Amendment to successfully disqualify a candidate for state office by 2028?

Mar 4, 8:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.64%chance

5173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

183

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.99%chance

7157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

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