OptionProbability
Flight 2
Flight 3
Flight 4
Flight 5
Flight 6
After Flight 6
92
3
1
SpaceX
Chinese provider (state-owned or commercial, e.g. CASC, LandSpace, Galactic Energy, CAS Space)
Any other provider
56
23
20
Any other provider (Russian, European, Japanese, Indian, South Korean, Iranian, etc.)
Other American provider (ULA, Rocket Lab, Blue Origin, Firefly, Northrop Grumman, etc.)
59
14
13
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