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Top stories

Venezuela's Maduro and Saab Condemn U.S. Threats, Warn of Regime Change, Criticize Guyana and Exxon Mobil

US Foreign Policy

Venezuela's Maduro and Saab Condemn U.S. Threats, Warn of Regime Change, Criticize Guyana and Exxon Mobil

Authors

8

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Latin America

Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Jun 11, 5:42 AMMar 1, 12:59 PM

5.54%chance

928367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2247

1508

Pink Tide: Will leftists still govern a majority of Latin American countries at the end of 2026?

Dec 4, 2:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.3%chance

734299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1473

601

US citizen sent to CECOT before EOY 2028?

Apr 16, 7:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.51%chance

81330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2031

492

Will Russia retaliate to the US's capture of Maduro

Jan 3, 10:23 AMApr 3, 9:20 AM

2.99%chance

13828

OptionVotes

YES

NO

317

88

Which regions will become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:00 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

10251

OptionProbability

North America

Asia and Australasia

Eastern Europe and Central Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

Western Europe

Latin America and the Caribbean

Middle East and North Africa

95

88

66

66

66

53

39

Will the World Tension Index get above 100 in 2026?

Dec 31, 6:41 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

35%chance

5140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

73

Will a Latin American country pass legislation attempting to regulate AI before end of 2025?

Mar 22, 9:20 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68.44%chance

481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

162

90

Will a Global South pavilion win the Golden Lion at Venice 2026?

Feb 16, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.84%chance

280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

926

Will the population of Latin America and the Caribbean (combined) exceed 760 million this century?

Nov 2, 1:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54.75%chance

25

OptionVotes

NO

YES

75

65

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