Leading Index News

170-175

175-180

165-170

180-185

≥185

<155

155-160

30-40%

40-50%

20-30%

50-60%

60-70%

10-20%

70-80%

≥80%

YES

NO

NO

NO

Moderately higher inflation (2.1%-3.0%)

Significantly higher inflation (>3.0%)

Minimal impact on inflation (2% or no mention of AI in Fed comms)

Moderately lower inflation (1.5%-1.9%)

Gemini 4 Pro 5-8 points worse

Gemini 4 Pro 0-4 points worse

Gemini 4 Pro ≥9 points worse

YES

YES

Will any single AI lab hold the #1 position on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index for at least 70 consecutive days during 2027?

Will Anthropic's Q4 2027 GAAP revenue exceed OpenAI's by >20%?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI report positive GAAP operating income in any quarter of 2027?