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Prediction markets for Learning Accelerator
Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?
Aug 23, 4:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
14.42%chance
532884
OptionVotes
2110
648
Will the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI?
Jun 6, 9:46 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
61.83%chance
112048
OptionVotes
1138
717
OptionVotes
4063
2475
Will a major cosmological simulation be AI-accelerated by the end of 2027?
Oct 12, 1:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
52.67%chance
28878
OptionVotes
1235
577
Will any chip maker other than NVIDIA, Intel, and AMD create accelerators for Deep Learning and be profitable by 2030?
Sep 24, 10:04 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM
90.2%chance
9371
OptionVotes
490
117
Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?
May 28, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
65%chance
10156
OptionVotes
136
73
Will there be a AI-developed relevant drug in the next 10 years?
Oct 14, 1:47 AMOct 14, 1:45 AM
85.21%chance
7142
OptionVotes
340
142
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