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Prediction markets for LG
What proportion of John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older will identify as LGBTQ+?
Jun 18, 1:58 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
24.58%chance
4965814
OptionVotes
972
970
Will LGBTQ+ content online be legally censored in the US before 2026?
Jan 30, 3:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
33.13%chance
373924
OptionVotes
1421
704
Will John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older be more likely to identify as LGBTQ+ than the general population?
Sep 18, 5:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
37.81%chance
152751
OptionVotes
1156
793
Will the first openly LGBTQIA+ SCOTUS Justice be appointed before 2040?
Jul 3, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
49.13%chance
181101
OptionVotes
1191
714
Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup?
Oct 6, 7:32 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM
48.88%chance
28987
OptionVotes
1088
889
Will Israeli LGBT rights be discernibly eroded before 2026?
Dec 29, 7:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.37%chance
28986
OptionVotes
1124
889
Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2030?
Jan 23, 12:39 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
12858
OptionProbability
99
96
92
78
72
66
59
57
56
50
50
42
34
29
17
What proportion of Ted Kaczynski clones aged 20 or older will identify as LGBTQ+?
Dec 9, 8:28 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
48.04%chance
4480
OptionVotes
1040
962
Will Massachusetts maintain its trans and LGB laws by 2025?
Feb 9, 3:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
90.09%chance
13384
OptionVotes
373
166
Wich Company will be the first to sell 100.000 humanoid robots capable of houshold tasks.
Jan 6, 5:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
10109
OptionProbability
25
18
14
11
7
6
5
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will sydney mclaughlin get into a public controversy over statements about LGBT people by the end of 2025?
Aug 10, 6:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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