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Prediction markets for Liberals

If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term?

Feb 23, 9:36 PMJan 21, 10:59 PM

68.73%chance

19737206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1137

972

Will gamers be liberated by the end of 2025?

Aug 19, 5:33 PMJan 1, 7:00 PM

6.76%chance

321841

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1921

856

Will the Colombian government and National Liberation Army (ELN) rebels announce a comprehensive agreement before the end of President Gustavo Petro’s term?

Jan 15, 4:17 PMAug 8, 2:59 AM

21.52%chance

151599

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1960

387

Capitalism and liberal democracy are going to be doing fine (or well) in 2030

Jan 6, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.64%chance

371499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1021

798

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.44%chance

191114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1186

843

Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?

Jan 29, 8:51 PMJan 21, 5:59 AM

28.59%chance

151049

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1581

633

Will the USA "liberate the people of Britain from their tyrannical government" before the next US presidential election?

Jan 6, 9:00 AMNov 6, 11:59 PM

3.07%chance

9618

OptionVotes

YES

NO

562

18

Will Ed Davey lead the Liberal Democrat party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

60.76%chance

6433

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1244

804

Will the Liberal Democrats consistently outpoll the Conservative Party in 2025?

Jun 18, 12:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.97%chance

7191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

510

325

Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day Tarrifs?

May 14, 2:40 AMMar 2, 3:34 AM

54.43%chance

9171

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

95

Liberal Party leadership spill before next federal election?

May 21, 6:08 AMOct 31, 6:00 AM

57.34%chance

320

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

86

Did Australian voters perceive the Liberal Party as more right-wing in 2025 than they did in 2022?

May 26, 12:26 PMNov 29, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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