Liberals News

Josh Willie Elected Tasmanian Labor Leader With Janie Finlay Deputy After Dean Winter No-Confidence Motion; Liberals Retain Power in Hung Parliament

1 year ago

Canada Admits 105,000 Temporary Foreign Workers in 2025, Exceeding Cap; Poilievre Criticizes Carney, Calls for "Canada First" Policy

1 year ago

If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)

Feb 23, 9:36 PMJan 21, 10:59 PM

34.84%chance

21546413

OptionVotes

YES

1691

352

Capitalism and liberal democracy are going to be doing fine (or well) in 2030

Jan 6, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.64%chance

371499

OptionVotes

YES

1021

798

Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?

Jan 29, 8:51 PMJan 21, 5:59 AM

23.47%chance

151324

OptionVotes

YES

1806

554

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.51%chance

211148

OptionVotes

YES

1140

877

How long will the Mark Carney liberal government last?

May 2, 1:42 PMOct 31, 4:30 AM

26934

OptionProbability

Full 4-year term or more

2 to 3 years

3 to 4 years

1 to 2 years

Less than 6 months

6 to 12 months

Will Ed Davey lead the Liberal Democrat party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.25%chance

10680

OptionVotes

YES

1046

956

Will Peter Magyar be a liberal in his first year in office?

Apr 17, 3:52 PMApr 24, 3:51 PM

38.89%chance

13526

OptionVotes

YES

125

Liberal+National primary vote in the 2026 Victorian State election

Oct 28, 3:56 AMNov 28, 12:59 PM

2415

OptionProbability

35% or above

29 - 30.99999%

31 - 32.99999%

33 - 34.99999%

27 - 28.99999%

25 - 26.99999%

Below 25%

When will China be liberated from CCP oppression?

Jun 29, 3:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7135

OptionProbability

2100+

2050s-2060s

2040s

2070s-2090s

2030s

2020s

Who will be the leader of the Liberal Democrats going into the next UK general election?

May 1, 6:31 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

2132

OptionProbability

Ed Davey

Daisy Cooper

Other

Josh Babarinde

Layla Moran

Will a Liberal MP or Senator join Community Strong Australia by the next Australian federal election?

Jun 25, 1:37 AMMay 19, 1:59 PM

25.71%chance

270

OptionVotes

YES

170

Will "Lesswrong Liberated" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Apr 1, 8:36 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.33%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1050

992

Latest stories

Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Canada
Economics
Politics
Canada Admits 105,000 Temporary Foreign Workers in 2025, Exceeding Cap; Poilievre Criticizes Carney, Calls for "Canada First" Policy
Authors
7
1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Australia
Politics
World
Josh Willie Elected Tasmanian Labor Leader With Janie Finlay Deputy After Dean Winter No-Confidence Motion; Liberals Retain Power in Hung Parliament
Authors
6
1 year ago

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Prediction markets for Liberals

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Prediction markets for Liberals

If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)

Capitalism and liberal democracy are going to be doing fine (or well) in 2030

Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

How long will the Mark Carney liberal government last?

Will Ed Davey lead the Liberal Democrat party into the next General Election?

Will Peter Magyar be a liberal in his first year in office?

Liberal+National primary vote in the 2026 Victorian State election

When will China be liberated from CCP oppression?

Who will be the leader of the Liberal Democrats going into the next UK general election?

Will a Liberal MP or Senator join Community Strong Australia by the next Australian federal election?

Will "Lesswrong Liberated" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Latest stories

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