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Prediction markets for Linux
OptionVotes
985
10
Will AI be able to rewrite the Linux Kernel from scratch in Rust, mostly autonomously, by EOY 2030?
Jan 2, 2:49 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
79.55%chance
599086
OptionVotes
1972
507
Which release of Linux kernel will have the first Rust-only driver for consumer-grade hardware ?
Mar 1, 5:59 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
157662
OptionProbability
23
20
17
12
6
4
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will the year of the self-driving car happen before the year of the Linux desktop
Dec 26, 7:45 PMJan 2, 7:54 AM
90.6%chance
564835
OptionVotes
1927
831
Linux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.
Aug 3, 10:51 AMAug 11, 4:59 AM
57.94%chance
241667
OptionVotes
1174
852
OptionVotes
2226
774
Will Microsoft discontinue Windows in favor of a Windows themed Linux distribution before 2041?
Jan 19, 1:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.13%chance
6395
OptionVotes
1234
949
Will the Linux kernel still be an actively maintained project in 2050?
Mar 29, 12:48 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM
79.93%chance
15354
OptionVotes
436
153
OptionVotes
233
43
Any Top-5 Linux distro replace Xorg with XLibre (or any other alternative X-server) before 2029?
Jul 12, 9:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.48%chance
5208
OptionVotes
210
48
OptionVotes
242
47
OptionVotes
1027
603
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