Lisa News

Hong Wang

Jacob Tsimerman

Jack Thorne

John Pardon

Other

Will Sawin

Maria Colombo

Yu Deng

Julian Sahasrabudhe

Sam Raskin

Vesselin Dimitrov

Yibo Gao

Tasuki Kinjo

Junliang Shen

Javier Fresan

Maksym Radziwill

Karim Adiprasito

Song Sun

Tatenda Kubalalika

Elia Bruè

Aleksandr Logunov

Amol Aggarwal

Akhil Mathew

Ashwin Sah

Alexander Efimov

Simion Filip

Jeremy Hahn

Lisa Sauermann

Dennis Gaitsgory

(duplicate, will resolve no)

Xian-Jin Li

Mike Wolf

Joseph Palmer

A non-human (e.g. an LLM)

Jacob Braunschweig

Miguel Walsh

Igor Rodnianski

Hannah Larson

Justin Fields

Frederick Manners

Yuansi Chen

Tom Hutchcroft

yunqing tang

Noé Cruchet

Vincent Tassion

Tony Yu

David Budden

Ziyang Gao

Raphaël Beuzart-Plessis

Daniel Restrepo

J. D. Vance

Gavin Newsom

Josh Shapiro

Pete Buttigieg

Marco Rubio

Gretchen Whitmer

Josh Hawley

Jon Ossoff

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Mark Kelly

KRANTZ (the abstract idea that evolves into a decentralized superintelligence, not the user)

Glenn Youngkin

Andy Beshear

Kamala Harris

Ron DeSantis

Wes Moore

Nikki Haley

Elise Stefanik

Mark Cuban

Stephen Miller

Vivek Ramaswamy

J. B. Pritzker

Cory Booker

Raphael Warnock

Gina Raimondo

Ro Khanna

Chris Murphy

Tammy Duckworth

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Chris Sununu

Jeff Jackson

Donald Trump Jr.

Tim Scott

Brian Kemp

Kristi Noem

Beto O'Rourke

John Fetterman

Tom Cotton

Brian Schatz

Joni Ernst

Michael Bennet

Tammy Baldwin

Kevin Stitt

Josh Green

Tina Kotek

Ted Cruz

Tulsi Gabbard

Joe Rogan

Jay Inslee

Deval Patrick

Eric Swalwell

Wayne Messam

Jared Polis

Kirsten Gillibrand

Julian Castro

Dean Phillips

Katie Britt

Laphonza Butler

Eric Schmitt

Mike Lee

Catherine Cortez Masto

Chris Coons

Tim Kaine

Lisa Murkowski

Katie Hobbs

Spencer Cox

Tate Reeves

Ruben Gallego

Erika Kirk

James Donaldson (MrBeast)

Tucker Carlson

Will Hurd

Dan Crenshaw

Robert F. Kennedy Jr

Amy Klobuchar

Andrew Yang

Stephen Colbert

Stephen Curry

Markwayne Mullin

Rand Paul

Joe Manchin

Maura Healey

Ivanka Trump

David Hogg

Dwayne Johnson (The Rock)

Taylor Swift

Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)

Matt Gaetz

Marianne Williamson

Ezra Klein

Mark Zuckerberg

Mike Pence

Jon Stewart

DUPLICATE

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Aella

Scott Alexander

Sam Altman

Zendaya

Michelle Obama

Kanye West

Mitt Romney

Sarah Palin

Ben Shapiro

Bernie Sanders

Hillary Clinton

Tim Walz

Al Gore

Elon Musk (Natural-born-citizen clause repealed/bypassed)

Me

Other

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including 'ChatGPT', 'Gemini', etc)

Bad Bunny

Zohran Mamdani

Marco Rubio

Xi Jinping

Benjamin Netanyahu

Elon Musk

Prediction Markets [Or associated person, company, etc]

Sam Altman

Vladimir Putin

Gavin Newsom

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Jeffrey Epstein

Dario Amodei

James Talarico

AOC

Jerome Powell

Sydney Sweeney

Demis Hassabis

Larry Ellison

Jensen Huang

Gen Z

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

Nicholas Maduro

Mark Zuckerberg

Self Driving Cars (Including 'Waymo', 'Uber', etc)

Lisa Su

Fei-Fei Li

Humanoid Robots (Including 'Optimus', 'Atlas', etc)

Millenials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Scott Bessent

Sundar Pichai

Narendra Modi

Ursula von der Leyen

Jasmine Crockett

Graham Platner

Kevin Hassett

Gen Alpha

Claudia Sheinbaum

Cryptocurrency (Including 'Bitcoin', 'Etherium', etc)

Ahmed al-Sharaa

Jon Ossoff

A court issues a temporary injunction preventing Cook’s removal before 2026

Cook remains in her position as of the September rate-setting meeting

At least 3 current or former Fed Govs issue public statements defending Cook or Fed independence before 2026

Supreme Court ruling on the shadow docket

Cook gives a published interview (3 questions or more) before 2026

A Supreme Court ruling (regular or shadow docket) has at least 3 dissents

A higher court reverses a lower court (appeal, tro, etc)

A sitting GOP Senator criticizes the firing (more than just concerns)

Cook's replacement votes when regional Fed Presidents' terms are up for renewal (Feb 2026)

Trump will make up a nickname for Cook (announced via post or interview)

A plaintiff sues the Fed, asking court to enforce Cook's firing

Cook is barred from at least 1 FOMC meeting, AND her firing is ultimately deemed illegal

Cook is indicted for a felony related to her mortgages before litigation about her firing is completed

Senate Committee holds a hearing for nominee to Cook’s seat before 2026

Trump threatens to fire Powell "for cause" since he didn't remove Cook

Trump actually attempts to fire Powell before Cook firing litigation is complete

Cook resigns

Cook is charged with any crime by the Justice Department before 2026

Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat before 2026

Yields on 10-year US Treasuries surpass 4.600% anytime before 10/1/25

Before 2027-01-01

Before 2026-06-01

Before 2026-09-01

Before 2025-11-01

Before 2025-12-01

Before 2026-01-01

YES

YES

YES

YES

NO

NO