Llama News

Alibaba Launches Non-Reasoning Qwen3-235B-A22B Model on Hugging Face With MoE Architecture; Boson AI Debuts Higgs Audio V2 TTS

10 days ago

AI Modeling

Anthropic Overtakes OpenAI in Enterprise AI Model Share

3 hours ago

Will there exist a service for full-parameter fine-tuning of Llama 3.1 405B?

Aug 18, 12:58 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33.74%chance

3464174

OptionVotes

YES

14016

7134

Will SB 1047 become law? Will Meta open source Llama 4 (or equivalent)

Sep 4, 10:31 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

1711580

OptionProbability

SB 1047 doesn't become law. Llama 4 is open source

SB 1047 doesn't become law. Llama 4 is not open source

SB 1047 becomes law. Llama 4 is open source

SB 1047 becomes law. Llama 4 is not open source

Meta cheated at LM Arena to pump Llama-4's score?

Apr 8, 2:23 PMApr 8, 2:15 PM

10.71%chance

226225

OptionVotes

YES

2888

346

1. Meta will begin charging for use of its Llama models.

Dec 27, 8:10 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

26.86%chance

342895

OptionVotes

YES

1650

606

Will Llama 4 be fully open-weight?

Apr 23, 5:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.11%chance

272145

OptionVotes

YES

1123

425

When will Meta release Llama 5?

Jul 25, 8:51 PMAug 1, 4:00 PM

61762

OptionProbability

Before August 2026

Before July 2026

Before June 2026

Before May 2026

Before April 2026

Before February 2026

Before March 2026

Before December 2025

Before January 2026

Before November 2025

Before October 2025

Before September 2025

Before August 2025

Will Llama-3 (or next open Meta model) be obviously good in its first-order effects on the world?

Oct 23, 12:43 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.43%chance

181098

OptionVotes

YES

1551

843

When will Meta release Llama 5?

May 20, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7285

Will lucky llama speak before the end of 2025?

Feb 11, 1:02 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

14.97%chance

3242

OptionVotes

YES

238

Meta trains model 2x larger than Behemoth in llama 4 series?

Apr 8, 9:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.3%chance

6203

OptionVotes

YES

235

Llama 5 outperforms GPT 4o on LM Arena?

Jul 9, 10:08 PMJan 1, 11:05 PM

66.57%chance

6176

OptionVotes

YES

141

What will the DeFi "Total Value Locked" metric be, as defined by DeFi Llama, on 31st December 2030?

Jan 10, 1:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

260

OptionProbability

Between $1t and $5t

Between $500b and $1t

>$10tn

Between $5t and $10t

Between $100b and $500b

< $100bn

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Will there exist a service for full-parameter fine-tuning of Llama 3.1 405B?

Will SB 1047 become law? Will Meta open source Llama 4 (or equivalent)

Meta cheated at LM Arena to pump Llama-4's score?

1. Meta will begin charging for use of its Llama models.

Will Llama 4 be fully open-weight?

When will Meta release Llama 5?

Will Llama-3 (or next open Meta model) be obviously good in its first-order effects on the world?

When will Meta release Llama 5?

Will lucky llama speak before the end of 2025?

Meta trains model 2x larger than Behemoth in llama 4 series?

Llama 5 outperforms GPT 4o on LM Arena?

What will the DeFi "Total Value Locked" metric be, as defined by DeFi Llama, on 31st December 2030?

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