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Puffer Finance Breach and Apple Patch Highlight Spike in Crypto Threats

1 year ago

Apple Releases Eighth Developer Betas and Fifth Public Betas Ahead of iPhone 17 Launch in September

Software

Tech

Apple Releases Eighth Developer Betas and Fifth Public Betas Ahead of iPhone 17 Launch in September

1 year ago

Will Apple still be partnered with OpenAI in 2028?

Jun 11, 10:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

27.63%chance

205129

OptionVotes

YES

1715

649

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Jul 16, 3:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

77.45%chance

5855

OptionVotes

YES

1853

540

Will I automate Vanguard rebalancing with an AI agent by 2026?

Jan 17, 7:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.13%chance

6605

OptionVotes

YES

954

180

Which month will CONTROL: Resonant release in?

Mar 15, 7:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3597

OptionProbability

September

October

Other

July

August

April

May

June

Will Valve Release a MacOS port of CS2 by the end of 2027.

Jan 25, 8:23 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

13.11%chance

8585

OptionVotes

YES

279

When will we get an operating system that's end-to-end generated by a neural network?

May 27, 8:07 AMDec 31, 9:07 AM

9574

OptionProbability

2025-2027

2031-2033

2037-2040

2028-2030

2034-2036

2046 or later or never

2041-2045

Conditional on release of an iPhone Ultra variant, what features will it have?

Nov 26, 6:21 AMDec 16, 7:59 AM

7490

OptionProbability

>= 8x optical zoom

>= 12 GB RAM

>= 6.85" display

a Thunderbolt 4 or USB4 port

>= 3 high-performance cores

>= 130% mAh battery of next-tier iPhone

greater optical zoom than next-tier iPhone

more high-performance cores than next-tier iPhone

2 TB storage option

>= 1.5x RAM of next-tier iPhone

Special LLM capabilities (e.g. extra cache for LLM weights near a Neural Engine)

>= 1.5x transistors of next-tier iPhone

No physical buttons https://www.macrumors.com/2025/10/28/20th-anniversary-iphone-solid-state-buttons/

officially supports a desktop-like experience when used with external displays (~same web app experience as MacOS Safari)

a Thunderbolt 3 port

special LLM capabilities beyond next-tier iPhone. Just 2x inference volume wouldn't count.

split-screen multi-tasking

more external buttons than next-tier iPhone

a Quantum Random Number Generator (QRNG) chip

>= 2 USB-C ports

Touch ID

officially supports dual-booting MacOS

Will there exist a competent window manager on MacOS before 2028?

Nov 27, 10:05 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

35.21%chance

6480

OptionVotes

YES

1356

737

Will Apple officially support macOS on an iPad, or other tablet computer, by the end of 2030?

May 10, 12:31 PMDec 31, 1:59 PM

17.75%chance

4420

OptionVotes

YES

746

172

Apple to un-hide terminal by EOY 2026

Jan 17, 8:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.41%chance

7360

OptionVotes

YES

354

What will be the name of macOS 28?

Jul 6, 9:06 PMJun 7, 6:59 AM

694

OptionProbability

Other

Redwood

Mammoth

Tiburon

Miramar

Rincon

Shasta

Skyline

Pacific

Farallon

Will Apple’s FSKit be sufficient to implement a read-write OpenZFS port on macOS by End of 2026?

Sep 21, 12:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1050

952

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Will Apple still be partnered with OpenAI in 2028?

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Will I automate Vanguard rebalancing with an AI agent by 2026?

Which month will CONTROL: Resonant release in?

Will Valve Release a MacOS port of CS2 by the end of 2027.

When will we get an operating system that's end-to-end generated by a neural network?

Conditional on release of an iPhone Ultra variant, what features will it have?

Will there exist a competent window manager on MacOS before 2028?

Will Apple officially support macOS on an iPad, or other tablet computer, by the end of 2030?

Apple to un-hide terminal by EOY 2026

What will be the name of macOS 28?

Will Apple’s FSKit be sufficient to implement a read-write OpenZFS port on macOS by End of 2026?

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