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Prediction markets for Made for Germany
Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?
Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
13.97%chance
5212270
OptionVotes
19342
7418
Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?
Jun 9, 8:22 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM
41.76%chance
292354
OptionVotes
1181
847
Which country or countries will be awarded the 2036 Summer Olympics
Oct 15, 12:11 AMFeb 23, 4:59 AM
111201
OptionProbability
34
21
21
11
4
3
2
2
2
OptionVotes
1051
972
[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?
Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
18.25%chance
18894
OptionVotes
1259
922
Will a manifold user do something very cool by the end of 2029?
Nov 8, 3:18 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
31.94%chance
13498
OptionVotes
1056
843
Which countries will order GCAP, the sixth generation fighter jet?
Mar 25, 8:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3380
OptionProbability
87
87
87
66
66
66
66
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
34
34
34
34
In which state will Germany decide to build a radioactive waste repository before 2069?
May 17, 6:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
7221
OptionProbability
40
28
8
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
OptionProbability
37
29
14
11
8