Claim that Grok/xAI has reached AGI (a statement by Musk on X counts)
Launch a satellite officially described as an orbital AI data-center prototype, carrying at least 8 data-center-grade AI accelerators (per official statements or reputable reporting; if the count is not public, resolves NO)
Deliver Optimus robots to a paying external customer
Announce a new child (confirmed by Musk or the mother)
Announce an acquisition worth more than $10B (by Musk or one of his companies)
Testify at a public hearing of the US Congress
Refly a Starship booster or ship within 3 days of its previous launch
Formally establish a political party, including the America Party (FEC registration or a state ballot-access filing made by Musk or on his behalf; announcements on X alone don't count)
Donate SpaceX or Tesla shares worth at least $1B at the time of the donation (per SEC filings or official statements)
Launch a Starship on a trajectory toward the Moon or Mars (trans-lunar or trans-Mars injection)