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India Approves Four Semiconductor Projects Worth ₹4,594 Crore, Including Two in Odisha, Expanding India Semiconductor Mission to 10 Projects

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What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Jun 13, 6:55 AMJun 30, 6:43 AM

16649368

OptionProbability

Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.

Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.

Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.

Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.5%chance

1812354

OptionVotes

YES

9625

2195

Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?

Aug 23, 4:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14.9%chance

512833

OptionVotes

YES

2059

657

Will Narendra Modi cease to be Prime Minister of India before 2030?

Nov 7, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

85.28%chance

392009

OptionVotes

YES

1752

784

Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 3, 7:29 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

64.64%chance

241675

OptionVotes

YES

1056

825

Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon?

Sep 13, 9:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.92%chance

281294

OptionVotes

YES

1765

820

Will an Indian science fiction film make a billion dollars at the global box office this decade?

Aug 1, 4:44 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

15.97%chance

281263

OptionVotes

YES

1470

848

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will India become militarily involved?

Dec 17, 2:17 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

27.02%chance

24814

OptionVotes

YES

1216

900

In what year will India's GDP PPP reach that of the United States?

Jun 9, 12:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

260

Will India extradite Sheikh Hasina to Bangladesh by EoY 2026?

Mar 18, 6:16 AMApr 2, 6:59 AM

40.19%chance

242

OptionVotes

YES

122

Will the Mumbai to Ahmedabad high speed rail line open before 2030?

Sep 6, 12:29 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

66.96%chance

538

OptionVotes

YES

160

110

Will GiveWell make further grants for Kangaroo Mother Care (KMC) before 2027?

Aug 30, 6:55 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

42.37%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

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What will be the official cause(s) of the Air India Flight 171 crash?

Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?

Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?

Will Narendra Modi cease to be Prime Minister of India before 2030?

Will a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?

Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon?

Will an Indian science fiction film make a billion dollars at the global box office this decade?

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will India become militarily involved?

In what year will India's GDP PPP reach that of the United States?

Will India extradite Sheikh Hasina to Bangladesh by EoY 2026?

Will the Mumbai to Ahmedabad high speed rail line open before 2030?

Will GiveWell make further grants for Kangaroo Mother Care (KMC) before 2027?

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