March News
Top stories
Prediction markets for March
Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?
Mar 1, 1:34 AMMar 1, 3:00 AM
8.34%chance
496394
OptionVotes
2621
696
Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?
Dec 29, 9:03 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM
44.1%chance
133409
OptionVotes
1126
888
Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027
Mar 7, 12:40 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
9.8%chance
232398
OptionVotes
3034
330
Will I still think ergocidity economics is crankery at the end of March 2027?
Mar 17, 6:52 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM
97%chance
21844
OptionVotes
9256
7401
Will a former US president accuse Trump of interfering with the 2026 mid-term elections, before March 2027?
Feb 26, 9:17 PMMar 1, 1:00 AM
31.57%chance
91520
OptionVotes
2221
1777
OptionVotes
2345
426
Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?
Feb 29, 11:21 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM
62.32%chance
271265
OptionVotes
1469
448
Will Mark Zuckerberg blame Trump threats/pressure for Meta content policy changes? (By March 2029)
Jan 18, 2:04 AMMar 31, 1:29 PM
23.5%chance
111135
OptionVotes
1804
554
Will a publicly available LLM/Agent beat a 2000 rated Elo chess player online rapid chess by March 2027?
Jul 19, 5:16 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM
66.73%chance
8865
OptionVotes
1037
847
There are no USA Presidents that had Green eyes. Will there be one by March 1st 2063?
Mar 21, 5:50 PMMar 2, 4:59 AM
28.47%chance
12547
OptionVotes
1003
926
Will the Taliban still be in power in Afghanistan five years from now? (March 2024-2029)
Mar 19, 8:33 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM
76.62%chance
16398
OptionVotes
1045
963
Will the definitive function/purpose of the Roman Dodecahedron be identified before March 6th, 2035?
Mar 6, 5:20 PMMar 7, 6:59 AM
45.8%chance
5122
OptionVotes
1093
924
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