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Prediction markets for Mars
OptionVotes
6356
304
Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
52.31%chance
474129046
OptionVotes
11076
10681
OptionVotes
4583
1054
Will there be a functional Tesla bot in Mars by 2034?
Jan 23, 12:10 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
26.23%chance
7974410
OptionVotes
1106
925
OptionVotes
16653
9942
Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
1.65%chance
10539006
OptionVotes
18122
919
By 2100, will there be scientific consensus supporting the existence of past or present life on Mars?
Feb 27, 5:13 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
25%chance
10631787
OptionVotes
2322
1388
OptionVotes
4161
496
Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
71.05%chance
17725328
OptionVotes
12006
9046
Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM
2.17%chance
3517355
OptionVotes
7670
470
OptionVotes
1071
839
OptionVotes
1099
941
Latest stories
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