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Prediction markets for Mars
OptionVotes
2527
596
Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
51.96%chance
41288771
OptionVotes
10989
10747
OptionVotes
2135
2065
OptionVotes
1157
907
OptionVotes
19036
9645
OptionVotes
3193
811
Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
77.3%chance
17224053
OptionVotes
14849
8064
Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.23%chance
9821603
OptionVotes
4277
1477
OptionVotes
1013
933
Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM
7%chance
314343
OptionVotes
3127
650
OptionVotes
1268
741
Will Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Mar 23, 7:21 PMMar 30, 7:21 PM
50.94%chance
543008
OptionVotes
2066
1904
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