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Top stories

HHS Secretary RFK Jr. Orders NIH Probe Into SSRIs After Minneapolis Shooting

US Domestic Policy

HHS Secretary RFK Jr. Orders NIH Probe Into SSRIs After Minneapolis Shooting

Authors

41

3 months ago

Melania Trump Urges Pre-emptive Threat Checks After Minneapolis Church Shooting

Melania Trump Urges Pre-emptive Threat Checks After Minneapolis Church Shooting

Authors

6

3 months ago

Minneapolis Church Shooting Kills Two Children, FBI Probes Anti-Catholic Hate Crime

US Domestic Policy

Minneapolis Church Shooting Kills Two Children, FBI Probes Anti-Catholic Hate Crime

Authors

122

3 months ago

CNN’s Tapper Draws Fire for Pronoun Focus After Minneapolis Church Shooting

Authors

11

3 months ago

Executive Orders

Trump Orders U.S. Flags Lowered After Minneapolis Catholic School Shooting

Authors

48

3 months ago

Pope Leo XIV Celebrates Mass at Sainte-Marie d’Albano, Hosts Lasagna and Veal Lunch for Refugees at Vatican Villa

Authors

8

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Mass

Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?

Jan 17, 12:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.06%chance

2312061

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12241

8166

Will any mass-produced electric car or truck have a range of at least 1000 miles by the end of 2029?

Dec 12, 4:26 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

17.52%chance

7010825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2339

498

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.08%chance

188507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6378

3288

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Apr 24, 2:46 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

28.3%chance

705905

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2357

2237

Will more than 10,000 people die as a result of Trump's mass deportations?

Nov 8, 7:08 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

15.52%chance

312448

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3573

1530

Will at least one >80% subsaharan ancestry country score above Ukraine on PISA for at least one year before 2100 without mass genetic enhancement?

Jan 17, 10:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.5%chance

241211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1938

1060

Will a mass driver be constructed on the Moon before 2100?

Jun 10, 12:45 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

66.15%chance

18856

OptionVotes

NO

YES

984

984

Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030?

Jan 10, 1:12 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

24.9%chance

18659

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

977

Will any state or company implement mass production of living humans by 2200?

Mar 2, 5:39 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

26.83%chance

18563

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

981

Will there be a mass-produced reversible computer on the market by 2032?

May 16, 12:26 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

24.64%chance

15370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1070

973

CXMT starts mass production of HBM3 in 2026?

Nov 6, 7:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.54%chance

2320

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1320

758

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 7:46 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

70.79%chance

14181

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

986

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