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Prediction markets for MAX 10
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How many distinct schemes are there for predicting a number on Manifold?
Oct 27, 7:00 PMOct 28, 6:59 AM
91288
OptionProbability
19
17
16
14
13
9
7
5
1
How many minutes of Harry Potter 2026 series will be streamed in the US in the first year?
Feb 24, 9:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
171082
OptionProbability
89
87
79
70
47
29
Will Max get a permanent position with a research focus at a top 10 university within 5 years of finishing his PhD?
Jun 25, 1:58 PMJul 1, 2:01 PM
47%chance
14753
OptionVotes
1034
956
Stanford's legacy admission rate drops by >25% in 2024 admissions cycle compared to 2023
Nov 26, 4:51 AMSep 1, 11:00 PM
32.84%chance
5460
OptionVotes
1430
699
OptionVotes
163
131
OptionVotes
133
127
Can my 55-Year-Old Father, who Has a Severe Spinal Injury, Walk Within 12 Months?
Mar 6, 11:33 PMMar 6, 11:59 PM
53.17%chance
479
OptionVotes
1066
938
OptionProbability
28
20
20
19
13
OptionProbability
50
50
41
34
24
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