May incident News
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Prediction markets for May incident
OptionVotes
2731
613
OptionVotes
4106
339
Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.96%chance
123209
OptionVotes
6132
3376
Will Mark Zuckerberg and Priscilla Chan be happily married and monogamous for life?
Feb 28, 12:05 AMMar 6, 4:59 AM
36.33%chance
462024
OptionVotes
1308
757
OptionVotes
1008
992
OptionVotes
1756
570
Will Oceangate face more than $1M fines, settlements and judgements as a result of the submersible incident?
Jun 20, 11:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
61.76%chance
171064
OptionVotes
1130
689
Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?
Dec 27, 11:51 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
12.64%chance
191048
OptionVotes
1350
921
Will Macron's english wikipedia article mention the 2025 apparent domestic violence incident by mid 2026
Jun 2, 6:02 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM
35.42%chance
14687
OptionVotes
1350
741
Will the US implement AI incident reporting requirements by 2028?
Apr 28, 1:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
83.04%chance
11307
OptionVotes
1177
931
Will Nestlé publicly apologize for its role in past human rights abuses by 2030?
Aug 7, 2:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.74%chance
6284
OptionVotes
1258
795
Will there be an attack on civilians in a NATO country committed primarily with a laser weapon with >19 casualties?
Oct 12, 3:57 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
25.72%chance
11253
OptionVotes
1030
978