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Pemex’s Dos Bocas Refinery Shuts on Outage, Deer Park Steps In
Authors
11
8 months ago
Prediction markets for Maya
OptionProbability
98
94
88
87
86
86
85
85
82
82
81
79
78
73
72
72
71
70
66
63
63
59
58
58
56
56
54
47
45
45
44
42
41
32
28
26
23
22
21
20
17
10
8
5
1
Nicholas Decker begins feminizing hormone therapy before July 2026?
Aug 21, 4:16 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM
4.65%chance
2010687
OptionVotes
4536
221
OptionProbability
95
94
92
91
90
90
89
88
88
88
87
86
85
84
84
83
83
83
82
82
81
81
79
79
78
78
78
78
78
76
76
75
75
73
72
72
72
70
69
69
69
69
66
66
65
65
62
62
59
59
55
54
54
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
46
41
41
41
41
34
34
34
34
34
32
32
24
23
17
16
14
OptionProbability
468
361
In 2026, what place will I (@mayaofspring) spend the most time in?
Jul 30, 5:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
61674
OptionProbability
93
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
231
43
OptionVotes
183
55
Will "Maya's Escape" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jul 28, 11:55 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
10.28%chance
4369
OptionVotes
1353
952
Will a U.S. pro athlete come out as LGBTQ+ and explicitly cite Heated Rivalry as their inspiration before season 2 airs?
Feb 16, 12:34 AMMay 5, 10:59 PM
37%chance
4228
OptionVotes
130
77
OptionProbability
144
135
Who in the Forbes 30 Under 30 2025 list will be charged, indicted, or SEC-sued before 2040?
Dec 14, 6:30 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
257
OptionProbability
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
37
OptionVotes
150
67