Memos News

Memos Show IRS Opened, Then Halted 2019 Criminal Probe of Clinton Foundation

7 months ago

Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk?

Sep 11, 5:08 PMNov 4, 6:00 PM

2.51%chance

3517614

OptionVotes

YES

6230

161

OpenAI memory-using chatbot causes fatal domestic dispute by EOY2026?

Apr 17, 10:49 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

49.92%chance

205519

OptionVotes

YES

1002

998

Will we discover superconductivity in biological systems as key part of memory, perception or language, before 2040?

Aug 2, 2:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.62%chance

224037

OptionVotes

YES

1437

935

Will the Crazy Horse Memorial be completed by 2073?

Aug 19, 1:09 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

54.25%chance

13569

OptionVotes

YES

1045

911

Was there ever a memo of OpenAI leadership discussing selling to the Russian government to fund AI development?

Jun 4, 6:55 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

26.71%chance

6390

OptionVotes

YES

592

299

Before 2030, will a NATO soldier publish a memoir claiming they were secretly on Ukrainian soil in 2022 or 2023?

Jun 29, 6:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

72.11%chance

14372

OptionVotes

YES

1003

984

Donald Trump claims he intends to write a memoir about second presidential term by the end of 2030?

Apr 4, 10:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.28%chance

9247

OptionVotes

YES

1006

994

Will Memorang be valued at $100M or more in a publicly verifiable way by the end of 2026?

Mar 15, 3:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.95%chance

5123

OptionVotes

YES

1063

941

When will we see credible evidence that Microsoft's memo about security tradeoffs was not applied?

May 8, 8:44 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3114

OptionProbability

Before 2026-01-01

Before 2025-07-01

Before 2025-01-01

In 2026 or after

Before 2024-07-01

In 2030 or after, possibly never

Memorial Circle Triumphal Arch (Arc de Trump) Inaugurated by Trump?

Jan 6, 1:09 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

35.42%chance

477

OptionVotes

YES

135

Will AI figure out who has the highest processing speed to working memory ratio by 2030?

Sep 11, 12:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.04%chance

OptionVotes

YES

How will I rate these writings? [Memory]

Dec 21, 8:09 PMDec 31, 7:53 PM

OptionProbability

Kandel, Dudai & Mayford (2014) "The Molecular and Systems Biology of Memory"

Auletta (2011) “Cognitive biology” Chapter 17

Michaelian (2011) “Generative memory”

Michaelian & Sutton (2017) “Memory”

Kandel (2009) "The Biology of Memory: A Forty-Year Perspective”

Schacter (1997) "Searching For Memory"

Ortega-de San Luis & Ryan (2022) "Understanding the physical basis of memory: Molecular mechanisms of the engram”

Schacter & Addis (2007) “The cognitive neuroscience of constructive memory: remembering the past and imagining the future”

Morimoto & Koshland (1991) "Short-term and long-term memory in single cells"

Frise (2023) “Epistemological Problems of Memory”

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Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk?

OpenAI memory-using chatbot causes fatal domestic dispute by EOY2026?

Will we discover superconductivity in biological systems as key part of memory, perception or language, before 2040?

Will the Crazy Horse Memorial be completed by 2073?

Was there ever a memo of OpenAI leadership discussing selling to the Russian government to fund AI development?

Before 2030, will a NATO soldier publish a memoir claiming they were secretly on Ukrainian soil in 2022 or 2023?

Donald Trump claims he intends to write a memoir about second presidential term by the end of 2030?

Will Memorang be valued at $100M or more in a publicly verifiable way by the end of 2026?

When will we see credible evidence that Microsoft's memo about security tradeoffs was not applied?

Memorial Circle Triumphal Arch (Arc de Trump) Inaugurated by Trump?

Will AI figure out who has the highest processing speed to working memory ratio by 2030?

How will I rate these writings? [Memory]

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