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Top stories

Meta Launches Global AI-Powered English-Spanish Voice Translation with Real-Time Dubbing for Instagram and Facebook Reels

Meta Launches Global AI-Powered English-Spanish Voice Translation with Real-Time Dubbing for Instagram and Facebook Reels

Authors

18

4 months ago

WhatsApp Adds Voicemail Feature for Missed Calls in Android Beta 2.25.23.21 Alongside New Modes and Privacy Enhancements

WhatsApp Adds Voicemail Feature for Missed Calls in Android Beta 2.25.23.21 Alongside New Modes and Privacy Enhancements

Authors

9

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Meta AI

Will Meta have a "mid-level" AI engineer that can write code by the end of 2025?

Jan 13, 7:06 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

9.34%chance

7655933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31227

3511

Will Yann LeCun remain chief AI scientist at Meta until 2026?

Mar 11, 12:19 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

66.89%chance

8118309

OptionVotes

YES

NO

939

871

Meta to release world's most advanced AI?

Jan 30, 7:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

2.62%chance

328304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6093

164

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Mar 3, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

604670

OptionProbability

OpenAI/Microsoft

Deepmind/Google/Alphabet

Anthropic

xAI or another Elon Musk-led AI initiative

Another specific company (not one of the above or a subsidiary)

A government or coalition of governments

Meta (Facebook) AI Research

A university/academic institute/independent researcher/non-profit organization or a combination of these

29

24

12

10

10

9

6

1

Will AI "smart glasses" be a popular AI wearable form factor by 2027? (eg Meta Ray Bans)

Mar 25, 10:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

82.39%chance

473852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2174

415

Will there be serious AI safety drama at Meta AI before 2026?

Mar 20, 9:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7.83%chance

373844

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3439

261

Will Meta AI start an AGI alignment team before 2026?

Feb 13, 6:56 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

14.54%chance

233754

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2086

658

Will a OpenAI, Anthropic, Google or Meta release an AI chatbot that has ads in the responses in 2025?

Dec 13, 8:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.86%chance

333573

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1693

591

Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?

Sep 23, 4:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.02%chance

151631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11408

8833

What organization will first create superintelligence?

Sep 30, 10:23 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26885

OptionProbability

Other

DeepMind

Anthropic

OpenAI

United States government

xAi

Meta AI

22

21

20

15

13

7

3

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.22%chance

14858

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1271

787

Does open sourcing LLMs/AI models (a la meta) increase risk of AI catastrophe?

Mar 12, 4:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.54%chance

225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

120

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