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Top stories

Meta Launches Global AI-Powered English-Spanish Voice Translation with Real-Time Dubbing for Instagram and Facebook Reels

Meta Launches Global AI-Powered English-Spanish Voice Translation with Real-Time Dubbing for Instagram and Facebook Reels

Authors

18

7 months ago

WhatsApp Adds Voicemail Feature for Missed Calls in Android Beta 2.25.23.21 Alongside New Modes and Privacy Enhancements

WhatsApp Adds Voicemail Feature for Missed Calls in Android Beta 2.25.23.21 Alongside New Modes and Privacy Enhancements

Authors

9

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Meta AI

Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?

Apr 20, 12:21 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

34.92%chance

816775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1784

1088

Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?

Sep 23, 4:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.33%chance

226683

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13530

7320

Will Anthropic, OpenAI, Deep-mind or Meta publish an app mainly for AI Agents by end of March 2026?

Jan 31, 1:19 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

52.58%chance

345938

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1053

950

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Mar 3, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

655171

OptionProbability

Deepmind/Google/Alphabet

OpenAI/Microsoft

Anthropic

xAI or another Elon Musk-led AI initiative

Another specific company (not one of the above or a subsidiary)

A government or coalition of governments

Meta (Facebook) AI Research

A university/academic institute/independent researcher/non-profit organization or a combination of these

32

23

21

8

8

5

3

0

By which date will the state-of-the-art LLM use latent space to reason?

Nov 9, 5:02 AMJan 2, 5:01 AM

163510

OptionProbability

Jan 1, 2029

Jan 1, 2028

Jan 1, 2027

65

57

39

Will there be a fire alarm for AGI by the end of 2027?

Sep 28, 11:28 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

16.84%chance

312834

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1351

868

What organization will first create superintelligence?

Sep 30, 10:23 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26885

OptionProbability

Other

DeepMind

Anthropic

OpenAI

United States government

xAi

Meta AI

22

21

20

15

13

7

3

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.22%chance

14858

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1271

787

Will AI-generated content be banned or clearly labeled by at least one major social platform (Meta, X, TikTok,YouTube)?

Jan 1, 1:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96.5%chance

6435

OptionVotes

NO

YES

525

19

Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?

May 6, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.09%chance

14135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1178

1053

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

50.47%chance

3107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

1041

Does open sourcing LLMs/AI models (a la meta) increase risk of AI catastrophe?

Mar 12, 4:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.54%chance

225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

120

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