Meta AI News
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Prediction markets for Meta AI
Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
Apr 20, 12:21 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
34.92%chance
816775
OptionVotes
1784
1088
Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?
Sep 23, 4:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
43.26%chance
205181
OptionVotes
12030
8331
OptionProbability
37
25
13
9
6
6
3
0
Will AI "smart glasses" be a popular AI wearable form factor by 2027? (eg Meta Ray Bans)
Mar 25, 10:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
83.08%chance
483902
OptionVotes
2224
404
By which date will the state-of-the-art LLM use latent space to reason?
Nov 9, 5:02 AMJan 2, 5:01 AM
163500
OptionProbability
65
57
39
Will Anthropic, OpenAI, Deep-mind or Meta publish an app mainly for AI Agents by end of March 2026?
Jan 31, 1:19 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
43.23%chance
172811
OptionVotes
1146
873
Will Anthropic, OpenAI, Deep-mind or Meta publish an app mainly for AI Agents in February 2026?
Jan 31, 1:18 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
25.52%chance
132210
OptionVotes
1709
585
OptionProbability
100
50
50
47
35
35
34
31
29
0
OptionProbability
22
21
20
15
13
7
3
Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.22%chance
14858
OptionVotes
1271
787
Will AI-generated content be banned or clearly labeled by at least one major social platform (Meta, X, TikTok,YouTube)?
Jan 1, 1:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
79.69%chance
5108
OptionVotes
198
50
Does open sourcing LLMs/AI models (a la meta) increase risk of AI catastrophe?
Mar 12, 4:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
60.54%chance
225
OptionVotes
165
120



