OptionVotes
YES
NO
4399
1460
OptionProbability
Nobody (linked market resolves NO)
Other
Google (eg Gemini)
OpenAI (eg ChatGPT)
Anthropic (eg Claude)
IBM (eg Watson)
Microsoft (eg Copilot)
Mira (https://x.com/_Mira___Mira_)
DeepSeek
Amazon
Meta
62
17
12
8
1
0
489
21
1302
754
Windows
Gmail
Android
Outlook
Google Chrome
Google Maps
Microsoft Teams
Visual Studio
Microsoft Copilot
Gemini
ChromeOS or Chromebook
Microsoft Edge
DeepMind
Google Keep
Google Earth
Android TV
Google Pay
Fitbit
Skype
97
96
90
85
83
80
69
60
55
51
50
41
38
Visual Studio Code (w/ Github Copilot or any other built-in)
Cursor
Any code editor + CLI tools (such as Claude Code, OpenAI Codex)
Windsurf
Visual Studio Code (w/ 3rd party agent)
Zed
Firebase Studio
75
14
3
2
323
31
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