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Top stories

Google Adds One-Click Vids Editing for Videos Stored in Drive

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Microsoft Edge

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.88%chance

233212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1925

695

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1720

680

Will retrieval-augmented-generation (RAG) still be used in 2026?

Aug 12, 4:11 PMDec 13, 4:59 AM

87.42%chance

231991

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2684

386

Which Google or Microsoft Product still Exists even in January 2030

Sep 17, 6:31 AMJan 31, 6:29 PM

141654

OptionProbability

Gmail

Windows

Android

Google Chrome

Microsoft Copilot

Google Maps

Gemini

Outlook

Google Earth

Microsoft Teams

Visual Studio

DeepMind

Google Keep

Microsoft Edge

ChromeOS or Chromebook

Google Pay

Android TV

Fitbit

Skype

96

95

94

91

89

89

86

84

79

78

68

60

60

55

54

53

41

38

1

Will any frontier LLM provider introduce a model explicitly optimized for aesthetic judgment or ‘taste’ in 2026?

Apr 14, 5:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.74%chance

7479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

143

70

Mustafa Suleyman out of Microsoft by EOY 2028?

Nov 12, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.19%chance

381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

161

62

Xbox Game Studios Stock

Apr 12, 12:52 AMApr 12, 5:59 AM

314

OptionProbability

YES

NO

75

66

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