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Top stories

Trump Weighs Unprecedented GOP Convention Before 2026 Midterms

Trump Weighs Unprecedented GOP Convention Before 2026 Midterms

Authors

41

1 day ago

Prediction markets for Midterms

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

53.6%chance

454177725

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9199

3579

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

99109775

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

67

33

Will there be a Assassination attempt on Donald Trumps life before the the midterms

Feb 11, 2:32 AMDec 24, 4:59 AM

23.43%chance

24876323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1808

553

If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:12 AMNov 3, 7:59 AM

51.7%chance

10341629

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8580

3958

U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026

Feb 4, 2:18 AMNov 2, 12:00 AM

3.01%chance

2721228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17904

2052

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

20.23%chance

5812103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1986

504

Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?

Jul 21, 11:47 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM

364939

OptionProbability

R Senate, D House

Republicans Sweep

Democrats Sweep

D Senate, R House

Other

52

34

12

2

1

Will 2026 turnout exceed 2022? (US midterms, percentage)

Jul 4, 2:35 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

81.61%chance

714548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5441

4403

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

Apr 2, 12:16 AMJan 4, 11:59 PM

184481

OptionProbability

49

48

50

47

51

52

46

Other

44

45

21

18

13

11

8

7

6

6

5

5

If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?

Mar 11, 3:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.07%chance

272657

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2106

1894

Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms?

Jul 4, 5:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.34%chance

81024

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1702

587

Who will be the Democratic nominee for GA-01 in the 2026 midterms?

May 28, 1:14 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Other

50

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