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Prediction markets for Milky Way
Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]
Jan 9, 8:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
96.33%chance
78320509
OptionVotes
5124
195
Will GPT-6 release introduce a different size/performance tier structure?
Jul 25, 8:37 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
104106
OptionProbability
90
4
4
3
P(Aliens) - Is there human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?
Dec 12, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50.48%chance
674020
OptionVotes
1291
509
OptionProbability
42
37
37
37
29
29
25
23
23
21
21
21
16
16
14
7
4
3
3
3
Does a civilization with Kardashev rating equal or greater than 1 exist in the Milky Way?
Aug 10, 1:30 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM
25.09%chance
391118
OptionVotes
1248
887
P(Aliens) - Are the 2020-2022 Pentagon UFO Navy videos evidence of human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?
Dec 12, 11:45 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM
20.13%chance
21965
OptionVotes
1006
706
OptionVotes
992
986
Will we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?
Aug 2, 4:58 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
69.01%chance
13286
OptionVotes
255
110
Will AGI successfully intervene and prevent the collision between the Milky Way Galaxy and the Andromeda Galaxy?
May 3, 4:53 PMDec 4, 5:59 AM
21.3%chance
8267
OptionVotes
175
79
OptionVotes
110
91
How many new interstellar objects will be discovered in 2026 that will pass through the Milky Way at a future time.
Jan 29, 8:17 PMDec 31, 8:13 PM
12
OptionProbability
36
32
32
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